MODELING COMMERCIAL FLOWS TO SIMULATE THE DEMAND FOR SHIP ENTRY TO SHAHID RAJAEE PORT

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JABBARI ZAHRA

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Journal: JOURNAL OF MARITIME TRANSPORT INDUSTRY Year:2016 | Volume:2 | Issue:3 Page(s): 4-12

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Title

MODELING COMMERCIAL FLOWS TO SIMULATE THE DEMAND FOR SHIP ENTRY TO SHAHID RAJAEE PORT

Author(s)

JABBARI ZAHRA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

DEMAND OF SHIP ENTRY TO SHAHID RAJAEE PORTQ1

SIMULATIONQ1

ERROR CORRECTION MODELQ1

ARDL TECHNIQUEQ1

Abstract

in this research, the effects of macroeconomic variables on the demand for ship entry to shahid rejaee port have been studied through a small scale econometric model the equations of which can be divided into two sets. In the first, the effects of such macroeconomic variables as the GDP, oil export, inflation, and exchange rate on the country’s import demand and export supply are examined while in the second the effects of the variations of the import/export rates on the ship entry demand function are studied. Because of the differences in the logistic transportation systems, the cargo ship demand has been selected for the study. The equations have been solved using monthly time series (2002-2010) and autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL) in the structure of co-integration method. Results have shown that the ship entry is more elastic to GDP growth variations and the elasticity between these two variables is a little more than one. But, the function of the ship entry demand is, to some extent, inelastic with respect to other economic variables.The elasticity values of the ship entry to the port for import, export, and oil revenue are 0.7, 0.3 and 0.2 respectively.

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APA: Copy

JABBARI, ZAHRA. (2016). MODELING COMMERCIAL FLOWS TO SIMULATE THE DEMAND FOR SHIP ENTRY TO SHAHID RAJAEE PORT. JOURNAL OF MARITIME TRANSPORT INDUSTRY, 2(3), 4-12. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/255691/en

Vancouver: Copy

JABBARI ZAHRA. MODELING COMMERCIAL FLOWS TO SIMULATE THE DEMAND FOR SHIP ENTRY TO SHAHID RAJAEE PORT. JOURNAL OF MARITIME TRANSPORT INDUSTRY[Internet]. 2016;2(3):4-12. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/255691/en

IEEE: Copy

ZAHRA JABBARI, “MODELING COMMERCIAL FLOWS TO SIMULATE THE DEMAND FOR SHIP ENTRY TO SHAHID RAJAEE PORT,” JOURNAL OF MARITIME TRANSPORT INDUSTRY, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 4–12, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/255691/en

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