ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT CLIMATE AND ENSO ON THE MALARIA IN KERMAN PROVINCE

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RAHIMI DARIUSH; MORIANZADEH JAVAD

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Journal: JOURNAL OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENT HAZARDS Year:2016 | Volume:5 | Issue:8 Page(s): 17-30

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Title

ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT CLIMATE AND ENSO ON THE MALARIA IN KERMAN PROVINCE

Author(s)

RAHIMI DARIUSH | MORIANZADEH JAVAD | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

MALARIAQ2

CLIMATIC CONDITIONSQ2

ENSOQ2

KERMAN PROVINCEQ1

Abstract

MALARIA as a mosquito-borne disease is largely dependent on CLIMATIC CONDITIONS. Temperature, rainfall and relative humidity considered as climatic factors affecting the geographical distribution of this disease. Southern and eastern regions of KERMAN PROVINCE is a MALARIA endemic area in Iran. The purpose of this is to evaluate the effect of climatic factors and ENSO on the incidence of MALARIA in the south of Kerman. Data, including are meteorological data, ENSO and patients with MALARIA in the period 2003-2013. The results show that the epidemic in this region is very much dependent on annual and monthly temperature, humidity and precipitation. The relationship between temperature and disease is significant at 0.95. Level so the disease increases with temperature up to 40-c° threshold. As well as, the result shows that the epidemic MALARIA is decreasing with increasing relative humidity and precipitation in south Kerman. The statistical analysis shows that MALARIA has reaction to ENSO. This relation is different at phase El Nino and La-Niño. In the El-Nino phase is increasing MALARIA because increasing temperature at this phase but the La-Niño phase is decreasing MALARIA because increasing relative humidity and precipitation in Southern and eastern KERMAN PROVINCE. Regarding to the occurrence of ENSO in January and the appearance of its effects with 6-9 month delay in the Southern and eastern parts of KERMAN PROVINCE, so, by the analysis of the ENSO phases and the predication of the temperature, relative humidity and precipitation we can provide more efficient MALARIA control programs

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APA: Copy

RAHIMI, DARIUSH, & MORIANZADEH, JAVAD. (2016). ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT CLIMATE AND ENSO ON THE MALARIA IN KERMAN PROVINCE. JOURNAL OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENT HAZARDS, 5(8), 17-30. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/259178/en

Vancouver: Copy

RAHIMI DARIUSH, MORIANZADEH JAVAD. ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT CLIMATE AND ENSO ON THE MALARIA IN KERMAN PROVINCE. JOURNAL OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENT HAZARDS[Internet]. 2016;5(8):17-30. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/259178/en

IEEE: Copy

DARIUSH RAHIMI, and JAVAD MORIANZADEH, “ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT CLIMATE AND ENSO ON THE MALARIA IN KERMAN PROVINCE,” JOURNAL OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENT HAZARDS, vol. 5, no. 8, pp. 17–30, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/259178/en

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