USING PATENT CONTENT ANALYSIS FOR TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING; AN ANALYSIS OF GLAZING TECHNOLOGY FUTURE

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ZARE AHMADABADI HABIB; YOUSEFTABAR MIRI SADEGH

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Journal: JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT MANAGEMENT Year:2013 | Volume:1 | Issue:2 Page(s): 57-85

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Title

USING PATENT CONTENT ANALYSIS FOR TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING; AN ANALYSIS OF GLAZING TECHNOLOGY FUTURE

Author(s)

ZARE AHMADABADI HABIB | YOUSEFTABAR MIRI SADEGH | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

TECHNOLOGY FORECASTQ2

PATENT ANALYSISQ2

TEXT MININGQ1

K-MEANS CLUSTERING METHODQ2

BI-LOGISTIC GROWTH CURVEQ2

Abstract

TECHNOLOGY FORECASTing as the first step in technology planning procedure, is defined as continuous monitoring of technological developments to evaluate its potential capability and early detection of its future applications. In developing countries, the lack of these studies in technology policy making process causes investments in R&D activities not to have desired effectiveness and put these countries far behind frontiers of technology. In this study, in order to monitor technological developments in glaze field and forecast its future trend, related patent information was retrieved from EPO and USTPO for further analysis and evaluation. After determining essential key words, 1591 patents were retrieved for analysis. Then using TEXT MINING techniques and K-MEANS CLUSTERING METHODology, glaze technology was divided into six technological clusters: "glaze main material", "additive materials", "Special glazes", "diversity in glaze appearance", "firing equipment", and "preparation methods". Finally, technology life cycle stage was determined for each of these clusters using BI-LOGISTIC GROWTH CURVE. Results showed that glaze technology is in maturity or saturation stage in all of its sub clusters and it would probably be replaced with other new advanced technologies in the near future.

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APA: Copy

ZARE AHMADABADI, HABIB, & YOUSEFTABAR MIRI, SADEGH. (2013). USING PATENT CONTENT ANALYSIS FOR TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING; AN ANALYSIS OF GLAZING TECHNOLOGY FUTURE. JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT MANAGEMENT, 1(2 ), 57-85. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/260195/en

Vancouver: Copy

ZARE AHMADABADI HABIB, YOUSEFTABAR MIRI SADEGH. USING PATENT CONTENT ANALYSIS FOR TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING; AN ANALYSIS OF GLAZING TECHNOLOGY FUTURE. JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT MANAGEMENT[Internet]. 2013;1(2 ):57-85. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/260195/en

IEEE: Copy

HABIB ZARE AHMADABADI, and SADEGH YOUSEFTABAR MIRI, “USING PATENT CONTENT ANALYSIS FOR TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING; AN ANALYSIS OF GLAZING TECHNOLOGY FUTURE,” JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT MANAGEMENT, vol. 1, no. 2 , pp. 57–85, 2013, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/260195/en

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