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Information Journal Paper

Title

The Prediction of the Risk of Financial Bankruptcy Using Hybrid Model in Tehra

Pages

  51-75

Abstract

 Predicting the Risk of Financial Bankruptcy is one of the most important issues in the field of companies’ financial decision. Accordingly, a variety of models that each is different in terms of predictor variables and techniques has been introduced so far. The use of the combination of accounting and Market-Driven Variables in the model as input will have definitely a direct impact on the results and accuracy of forecasts. In this study, the prediction was accomplished by using a Hybrid Model (the use of accounting and Market-Driven Variables) and Neural Networks technique of multi-layer perceptron model (MLP). The sample of research consists of 90 accepted companies in Tehran Stock Exchange (31 bankrupted companies in accordance with article Iran’ s 141 trade laws and 59 non-bankrupted companies) during 2007-2014 period. The research results show that the Hybrid Model (combination of accounting and Market-Driven Variables) using Neural Network technique has higher accuracy than each of the two accounting models and market-driven model in predicting the Risk of Financial Bankruptcy. Likewise, the market-driven model is more accurate than accounting model.

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    APA: Copy

    Ramooz, Najmeh, & MAHMOUDI, MARYAM. (2017). The Prediction of the Risk of Financial Bankruptcy Using Hybrid Model in Tehra. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGY, 5(1 (16) ), 51-75. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/261622/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    Ramooz Najmeh, MAHMOUDI MARYAM. The Prediction of the Risk of Financial Bankruptcy Using Hybrid Model in Tehra. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGY[Internet]. 2017;5(1 (16) ):51-75. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/261622/en

    IEEE: Copy

    Najmeh Ramooz, and MARYAM MAHMOUDI, “The Prediction of the Risk of Financial Bankruptcy Using Hybrid Model in Tehra,” JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGY, vol. 5, no. 1 (16) , pp. 51–75, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/261622/en

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