Designing a Strategic Foresight Model for the Development of Iran’ s Free Trade Zones in 1414 Hijri (Case Study: Chabahar Free Zone)

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Gerami Tayebi Mohsen; Bayat Rohullah; Darvishi Setalani Farhad; Akhavan AmirNaser

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Journal: JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES Year:2019 | Volume:4 | Issue:1 Page(s): 71-99

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Designing a Strategic Foresight Model for the Development of Iran’ s Free Trade Zones in 1414 Hijri (Case Study: Chabahar Free Zone)

Author(s)

Gerami Tayebi Mohsen | Bayat Rohullah | Darvishi Setalani Farhad | Akhavan AmirNaser | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Free Zones

Chabahar

Foresight

Interpretive Structural Modeling

Abstract

Purpose: As one of the most critical oceanic ports, Chabahar has attracted the attention of many countries in terms of trade and cost reduction for exporting their goods and services to Western countries in terms of low cost, distance and so on. Therefore, the primary purpose of this article is to show how strategic Foresight can contribute to the development of the Chabahar Free Zone. Methods: This is a qualitative and quantitative combination study. Firstly, using library resources and expert opinions for data collection, and finally, the Interpretive Structural Modeling method is used to draw the model. Expert views on the model and its validity are also used. Findings: The results show that the favorable model for the future of Free Zones and in this case Chabahar is composed of factors that pay special attention to geopolitical and geo-economic issues due to the specific geography of this region. The use of futures studies methods, especially environmental scanning, as well as the casual-layered analysis (CLA), depending on the climatic and geographic conditions of this region, is essential. Conclusion: According to the literature review, no comprehensive study has been done so far on the Foresight of Free Zones, so the proposed model as the first model for Free Zones Foresight can respond to this vital aspect of these areas development.

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APA: Copy

Gerami Tayebi, Mohsen, Bayat, Rohullah, Darvishi Setalani, Farhad, & Akhavan, AmirNaser. (2019). Designing a Strategic Foresight Model for the Development of Iran’ s Free Trade Zones in 1414 Hijri (Case Study: Chabahar Free Zone). JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES, 4(1 ), 71-99. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/270358/en

Vancouver: Copy

Gerami Tayebi Mohsen, Bayat Rohullah, Darvishi Setalani Farhad, Akhavan AmirNaser. Designing a Strategic Foresight Model for the Development of Iran’ s Free Trade Zones in 1414 Hijri (Case Study: Chabahar Free Zone). JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES[Internet]. 2019;4(1 ):71-99. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/270358/en

IEEE: Copy

Mohsen Gerami Tayebi, Rohullah Bayat, Farhad Darvishi Setalani, and AmirNaser Akhavan, “Designing a Strategic Foresight Model for the Development of Iran’ s Free Trade Zones in 1414 Hijri (Case Study: Chabahar Free Zone),” JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES, vol. 4, no. 1 , pp. 71–99, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/270358/en

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