Simulation and prediction of land use and land cover change using GIS, remote sensing and CA-Markov model

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Khawaldah H.A.; Farhan I.; Alzboun N.M.

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: GLOBAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND MANAGEMENT Year:2020 | Volume:6 | Issue:2 Page(s): 215-232

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Simulation and prediction of land use and land cover change using GIS, remote sensing and CA-Markov model

Author(s)

Khawaldah H.A. | Farhan I. | Alzboun N.M. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CA-Markov model

Jordan

Land use/land cover change (LULC)

Population growth

Urban expansion

Abstract

This study analyzes the characteristics of land use/land cover change in Jordan’ s Irbid governorate, 1984– 2018, and predicts future land use/land cover for 2030 and 2050 using a cellular automata-Markov model. The results inform planners and decision makers of past and current spatial dynamics of land use/land cover change and predicted Urban expansion, for a better understanding and successful planning. Satellite images of Landsat 5-thematic mapper and Landsat 8 operational land imager for the years 1984, 1994, 2004, 2015 and 2018 were used to explore the characteristics of land use/land cover for this study. The results indicate that the built-up area expanded by 386. 9% during the study period and predict further expansion by 19. 5% and 64. 6% from 2015 to 2030 and 2050 respectively. The areas around the central and eastern parts of the governorate are predicted to have significant expansion of the built-up area by these dates, which should be taken into consideration in future plans. Land use/land cover change and Urban expansion in Irbid are primarily caused by the high rate of Population growth rate as a direct result of receiving large numbers of immigrants from Syria and Palestine in addition to the natural increase of population and other socio-economic changes.

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APA: Copy

Khawaldah, H.A., Farhan, I., & Alzboun, N.M.. (2020). Simulation and prediction of land use and land cover change using GIS, remote sensing and CA-Markov model. GLOBAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND MANAGEMENT, 6(2), 215-232. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/343528/en

Vancouver: Copy

Khawaldah H.A., Farhan I., Alzboun N.M.. Simulation and prediction of land use and land cover change using GIS, remote sensing and CA-Markov model. GLOBAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND MANAGEMENT[Internet]. 2020;6(2):215-232. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/343528/en

IEEE: Copy

H.A. Khawaldah, I. Farhan, and N.M. Alzboun, “Simulation and prediction of land use and land cover change using GIS, remote sensing and CA-Markov model,” GLOBAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND MANAGEMENT, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 215–232, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/343528/en

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