Estimating the Fluctuations of Rainfall Extreme Indices in Mashhad for the Next Two Periods of 2011-2030 and 2046-2065 Using LARS-WG Model's Downscaling

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Askarizadeh Seyyed Mohammad; MOZAFFARI GHOLAM ALI; MAZIDI AHMAD

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Journal: Journal of Geography and Regional Development Year:2018 | Volume:16 | Issue:1 (30) Page(s): 25-50

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Title

Estimating the Fluctuations of Rainfall Extreme Indices in Mashhad for the Next Two Periods of 2011-2030 and 2046-2065 Using LARS-WG Model's Downscaling

Author(s)

Askarizadeh Seyyed Mohammad | MOZAFFARI GHOLAM ALI | MAZIDI AHMAD | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Extreme indicesQ1

The model of general circulation of atmosphere –oceanQ1

DownscalingQ1

MashhadQ2

Abstract

Introduction Today, it is accepted that the occurrence of any change in the climatic system is important in water and soil resources management. Climate fluctuations have had irreparable effects on water and soil resources of Khorasan Razavi area, especially in Mashhad. Hence, the attitude towards the future is considered as one of the essential requirements for metropolitan and regional management. In order to provide an outlook from future changes of extreme events, especially precipitation, the output of models of atmosphere general circulation (HadCM3, CNCM3, NCCCSM) are used based on A1B, and A2 scenarios under the LARS-WG model for the two upcoming periods of 2011-2030 and 2046-2065. The studied rainfall indices in this research include PRCPTOT, R10mm, R20mm, R95p, R99p, RX1day, RX5day, and SDII...

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APA: Copy

Askarizadeh, Seyyed Mohammad, MOZAFFARI, GHOLAM ALI, & MAZIDI, AHMAD. (2018). Estimating the Fluctuations of Rainfall Extreme Indices in Mashhad for the Next Two Periods of 2011-2030 and 2046-2065 Using LARS-WG Model's Downscaling. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT, 16(1 (30) ), 25-50. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/361818/en

Vancouver: Copy

Askarizadeh Seyyed Mohammad, MOZAFFARI GHOLAM ALI, MAZIDI AHMAD. Estimating the Fluctuations of Rainfall Extreme Indices in Mashhad for the Next Two Periods of 2011-2030 and 2046-2065 Using LARS-WG Model's Downscaling. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT[Internet]. 2018;16(1 (30) ):25-50. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/361818/en

IEEE: Copy

Seyyed Mohammad Askarizadeh, GHOLAM ALI MOZAFFARI, and AHMAD MAZIDI, “Estimating the Fluctuations of Rainfall Extreme Indices in Mashhad for the Next Two Periods of 2011-2030 and 2046-2065 Using LARS-WG Model's Downscaling,” JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT, vol. 16, no. 1 (30) , pp. 25–50, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/361818/en

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