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Information Journal Paper

Title

Spatial Analysis of the Impact of Demographic Factors on the Crime of Robbery

Pages

  153-170

Abstract

 Background and Objective: One of the most important issues in the world's cities is the high rate of crime and the increase of social anomalies in them. The occurrence of the crime of robbery as an undesirable social phenomenon has caused many economic and social causes. Due to the importance of the issue, in recent years and in different countries, including Iran, extensive studies have been conducted to identify, explain and influence the causes of its occurrence. This research is also an attempt in this direction. Method: This article is applicable in terms of purpose and nature, and in terms of its implementation, it is an analytical-inferential survey. The statistical society included house robbery in the 22nd district of Tehran in 1395, which was prepared by the NAJA Deputy Director for Planning and Budget, and other demographic variables from the Iranian Statistics Center. Data analysis was carried out using spatial analysis and employing the structural collective regression model by the Laplace-Aeschine approximation method. All calculations were performed using the INLA software package in the R programming environment. Findings: In the period under review, divorce, drug addiction and migration variables were affected by theft rate in Tehran, with a frequency of 53%, 15% and 37%, respectively. And the floating population has reduced the stolen rate by 14%. Conclusion: Variables such as divorce, drug addiction and migration to major cities have a meaningful and direct relationship with theft, but the floating population is inversely related to theft.

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  • Cite

    APA: Copy

    KARAMI, HAMID REZA, POURGHOLAMI, MOHAMMADREZA, & JAHANGIRPOUR, ALI. (2019). Spatial Analysis of the Impact of Demographic Factors on the Crime of Robbery. CRIMINAL INTELLIGENCE RESEARCHES, 14(1 (53) ), 153-170. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/365265/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    KARAMI HAMID REZA, POURGHOLAMI MOHAMMADREZA, JAHANGIRPOUR ALI. Spatial Analysis of the Impact of Demographic Factors on the Crime of Robbery. CRIMINAL INTELLIGENCE RESEARCHES[Internet]. 2019;14(1 (53) ):153-170. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/365265/en

    IEEE: Copy

    HAMID REZA KARAMI, MOHAMMADREZA POURGHOLAMI, and ALI JAHANGIRPOUR, “Spatial Analysis of the Impact of Demographic Factors on the Crime of Robbery,” CRIMINAL INTELLIGENCE RESEARCHES, vol. 14, no. 1 (53) , pp. 153–170, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/365265/en

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