Determinants of the Inclusiveness and Sustainability of Industrial Development in Iran: Co-integration Approach and Vector Error Correction Model

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MAHDAVI ABOLGHASEM; AZIZMOHAMMADLOU HAMID

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Journal: JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT (THE ECONOMIC RESEARCH) Year:2019 | Volume:19 | Issue:2 Page(s): 1-34

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Title

Determinants of the Inclusiveness and Sustainability of Industrial Development in Iran: Co-integration Approach and Vector Error Correction Model

Author(s)

MAHDAVI ABOLGHASEM | AZIZMOHAMMADLOU HAMID | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Industrial developmentQ3

InclusivenessQ1

SustainabilityQ2

co-Integration methodQ2

Abstract

According to empirical studies, the imbalanced and even contradictory changes have happened during the industrialization process at some industrial areas and structures, and both national and provincial levels in Iran. This paper analyzes the trend of inclusive and sustainable Industrial development and its determinants during the period 1974-2015 by Johansen-Juselius co-Integration method. The findings show that industrial growth has experienced a highly fluctuating trend. Inclusive Industrial development has experienced a relatively stable trend. However, Sustainability of Industrial development has recorded a downward trend during the period under study. The results of co-integration analysis indicate positive and significant effects of capital, exchange rate, technology, and research and development expenditure on industrial growth. The Inclusiveness of Industrial development despite is positively influenced by industrial employment, investment and social capital. Nevertheless, it is negatively affected by technology and research and development expenditure. Sustainability of Industrial development is also a positive function of industrial employment, social capital and government investment on the environment sector. According to the findings, it is suggested that the more credits should be allocated for protecting environment. In addition, in order to enhance social capital, it is recommended that the participation rate of various social classes should be increased.

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APA: Copy

MAHDAVI, ABOLGHASEM, & AZIZMOHAMMADLOU, HAMID. (2019). Determinants of the Inclusiveness and Sustainability of Industrial Development in Iran: Co-integration Approach and Vector Error Correction Model. JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT (THE ECONOMIC RESEARCH), 19(2 ), 1-34. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/367299/en

Vancouver: Copy

MAHDAVI ABOLGHASEM, AZIZMOHAMMADLOU HAMID. Determinants of the Inclusiveness and Sustainability of Industrial Development in Iran: Co-integration Approach and Vector Error Correction Model. JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT (THE ECONOMIC RESEARCH)[Internet]. 2019;19(2 ):1-34. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/367299/en

IEEE: Copy

ABOLGHASEM MAHDAVI, and HAMID AZIZMOHAMMADLOU, “Determinants of the Inclusiveness and Sustainability of Industrial Development in Iran: Co-integration Approach and Vector Error Correction Model,” JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT (THE ECONOMIC RESEARCH), vol. 19, no. 2 , pp. 1–34, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/367299/en

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