Asymmetric Effects of Trade Balance Relative to Savings Rates and the Real Effective Exchange Rate: Markov-Switching Approach

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BARGI OSKOOEE MOHAMMAD MEHDI; KAZEROONI ALIREZA; SALMANI BEHZAD; KHODAVERDIZADEH SABER

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Journal: Journal of Economic Research Year:2018 | Volume:52 | Issue:4 Page(s): 821-858

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Title

Asymmetric Effects of Trade Balance Relative to Savings Rates and the Real Effective Exchange Rate: Markov-Switching Approach

Author(s)

BARGI OSKOOEE MOHAMMAD MEHDI | KAZEROONI ALIREZA | SALMANI BEHZAD | KHODAVERDIZADEH SABER | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

trade balanceQ2

saving rateQ2

Exchange RateQ1

Markov SwitchingQ2

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the effect of nonlinear savings rate on Iran's trade balance using the Markov-switching approach during 1393-1360. The results show that savings rates have a negative effect in the first regime and The second regime has a positive effect on trade balance. The real effective Exchange Rate coefficients in the first and second regimes have a negative impact on the trade balance. In other words cause deterioration of the trade balance and the results confirmed lack of j curves in the time period under study. Other results of the study showed that the asymmetric impact of trade openness and per capita GDP in the first and second regimes on the trade balance.

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APA: Copy

BARGI OSKOOEE, MOHAMMAD MEHDI, KAZEROONI, ALIREZA, SALMANI, BEHZAD, & KHODAVERDIZADEH, SABER. (2018). Asymmetric Effects of Trade Balance Relative to Savings Rates and the Real Effective Exchange Rate: Markov-Switching Approach. TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI, 52(4 ), 821-858. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/368200/en

Vancouver: Copy

BARGI OSKOOEE MOHAMMAD MEHDI, KAZEROONI ALIREZA, SALMANI BEHZAD, KHODAVERDIZADEH SABER. Asymmetric Effects of Trade Balance Relative to Savings Rates and the Real Effective Exchange Rate: Markov-Switching Approach. TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI[Internet]. 2018;52(4 ):821-858. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/368200/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD MEHDI BARGI OSKOOEE, ALIREZA KAZEROONI, BEHZAD SALMANI, and SABER KHODAVERDIZADEH, “Asymmetric Effects of Trade Balance Relative to Savings Rates and the Real Effective Exchange Rate: Markov-Switching Approach,” TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI, vol. 52, no. 4 , pp. 821–858, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/368200/en

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