Importance-Performance Analysis and Utilization of Forecasting and Future Studies Methods to Decision Making in Joint and Combined Operation Fields

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

Partovi Mohammad Taghi; MEHREGAN MOHAMMAD REZA; RASHIDI MAJID; Khorashadi Zadeh Mohammadreza

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY Year:2019 | Volume:4 | Issue:14 Page(s): 115-133

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

420

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

Importance-Performance Analysis and Utilization of Forecasting and Future Studies Methods to Decision Making in Joint and Combined Operation Fields

Author(s)

Partovi Mohammad Taghi | MEHREGAN MOHAMMAD REZA | RASHIDI MAJID | Khorashadi Zadeh Mohammadreza | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Importance-Performance AnalysisQ1

PredictionQ1

Forecasting ModelsQ1

Future Studies MethodsQ2

Decision makingQ1

Joint Operations EnvironmentsQ1

Abstract

In the past, most military operations were planned and implemented based on intelligence estimates, human resources, logistics and other estimates and operational plans. Meanwhile gradually, Prediction, planning and decision-making techniques became more varied and expanded with the development of joint and even compound operations. In this paper, the utilization of Prediction and Future Studies Methods is considered various methods have been identified and introduced. By reviewing the application of these methods in scientific papers in the last 10 years and the opinions of experts, it has been found that it is increasing the trend of using Prediction and futuristic methods. Based on library studies and interview with experts were identified forecasting and Future Studies Methods in the two groups: quantitative and qualitative methods. 64 methods were extracted by using PCA method. The status of application of these methods was calculated in the decision-making environment of joint and compound operations by the Importance-Performance Analysis method. The results show that quantitative methods: Maximum likelihood estimation methods, computer modeling, simulation, auto-regressive moving averages, nonlinear Prediction methods, auto-regressive, vector, genetic algorithm and trend analysis and in qualitative methods: Micmac Analysis, Horizon Scanning, participatory future praxis, Cohort-Component Method, Strategic Visioning & Leadership, Wargaming, and Principal Component Analysis are more important. Finally, some suggestions have been made to improve the use of these methods in view of the need to familiarize decision makers in the Joint operation environment.

Cites

No record.

References

No record.

Cite

APA: Copy

Partovi, Mohammad Taghi, MEHREGAN, MOHAMMAD REZA, RASHIDI, MAJID, & Khorashadi Zadeh, Mohammadreza. (2019). Importance-Performance Analysis and Utilization of Forecasting and Future Studies Methods to Decision Making in Joint and Combined Operation Fields. DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY, 4(14 ), 115-133. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/380945/en

Vancouver: Copy

Partovi Mohammad Taghi, MEHREGAN MOHAMMAD REZA, RASHIDI MAJID, Khorashadi Zadeh Mohammadreza. Importance-Performance Analysis and Utilization of Forecasting and Future Studies Methods to Decision Making in Joint and Combined Operation Fields. DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY[Internet]. 2019;4(14 ):115-133. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/380945/en

IEEE: Copy

Mohammad Taghi Partovi, MOHAMMAD REZA MEHREGAN, MAJID RASHIDI, and Mohammadreza Khorashadi Zadeh, “Importance-Performance Analysis and Utilization of Forecasting and Future Studies Methods to Decision Making in Joint and Combined Operation Fields,” DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY, vol. 4, no. 14 , pp. 115–133, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/380945/en

Related Journal Papers