Modeling of Foresight for Sustainable Development Using Scenario Planning and System dynamics Approach (case study: Yazd Province)

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BABAEI MEYBODI HAMID; GOODARZI GHOLAMREZA; AZAR ADEL; Azizi Firozeh

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Journal: MODIRIAT-E-FARDA Year:2020 | Volume:19 | Issue:62 Page(s): 163-180

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Modeling of Foresight for Sustainable Development Using Scenario Planning and System dynamics Approach (case study: Yazd Province)

Author(s)

BABAEI MEYBODI HAMID | GOODARZI GHOLAMREZA | AZAR ADEL | Azizi Firozeh | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ForesightQ1

System DynamicsQ1

Sustainable DevelopmentQ1

Scenario PlanningQ1

Abstract

Nowadays, the wide changes in various dimensions put managers in serious challenges. This issues cause the current plans will no longer be able to response, therefore it is necessary to use new approaches such as Foresighting. Meanwhile, one of the main concerns of managers is the effect of their decisions on the key variables. This study using a Foresight and systematic approaches and design the dynamic Sustainable Development model to seeks an answer to this important management issue. First we presented a framework for Sustainable Development and then, using the “ Mic Mac” method identified the key drivers of Sustainable Development. In the next step, by designing a scenario portfolio, future possible scenarios for Sustainable Development were determined. Finally, by designing a regional Sustainable Development model, it is possible to simulate scenarios and decisions, and determine the appropriate scenarios from the possible multi-dimensional scenarios.

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APA: Copy

BABAEI MEYBODI, HAMID, GOODARZI, GHOLAMREZA, AZAR, ADEL, & Azizi, Firozeh. (2020). Modeling of Foresight for Sustainable Development Using Scenario Planning and System dynamics Approach (case study: Yazd Province). MODIRIAT-E-FARDA, 19(62 ), 163-180. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/390337/en

Vancouver: Copy

BABAEI MEYBODI HAMID, GOODARZI GHOLAMREZA, AZAR ADEL, Azizi Firozeh. Modeling of Foresight for Sustainable Development Using Scenario Planning and System dynamics Approach (case study: Yazd Province). MODIRIAT-E-FARDA[Internet]. 2020;19(62 ):163-180. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/390337/en

IEEE: Copy

HAMID BABAEI MEYBODI, GHOLAMREZA GOODARZI, ADEL AZAR, and Firozeh Azizi, “Modeling of Foresight for Sustainable Development Using Scenario Planning and System dynamics Approach (case study: Yazd Province),” MODIRIAT-E-FARDA, vol. 19, no. 62 , pp. 163–180, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/390337/en

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