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Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

Investigating the Effect of Climate Change on Inflow Runoff into the Karun-4 Dam Based on IPCC's Fourth and Fifth Report

Pages

  345-359

Abstract

 In the present paper, fluctuations of inflow into the Karun-4 Dam under different scenarios of the climate change for the future period of 2021-2050 were investigated. For this purpose, the outputs of the HadCM3 model under the scenarios of B1 (optimistic) and A2 (pessimistic) were utilized for the fourth report; additionally, the outputs of the Ensemble model under RCP 2. 6 (optimistic) and RCP 8. 5 (pessimistic) scenarios were used for the fifth report. Moreover, in order to estimate runoff in the future period, the artificial neural network was considered as a rainfall-runoff model. The results indicated that the average annual precipitation in the five study stations under B1 and RCP 2. 6 scenarios was increased by 15 and 5%, respectively, while it showed a decrease equal to 8 and 6%, respectively under the scenarios A2 and RCP 8. 5. Furthermore, the average annual temperature in all scenarios showed increase, which was at least 1. 06 ⁰ C under the scenario B1 and 1. 89 ⁰ C under scenario RCP 8. 5. Examining the input inflow into the Karun-4 dam showed that under both B1 and RCP 2. 6 scenarios, the annual inflow will be increased by 1. 8 and 1. 5%, respectively; under the two scenarios A2 and RCP of 8. 5, the annual inflow will be decreased to 10. 4 and 9. 8%, respectively.

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    APA: Copy

    MANSOURI, A., AMINNEJAD, B., & AHMADI, H.. (2018). Investigating the Effect of Climate Change on Inflow Runoff into the Karun-4 Dam Based on IPCC's Fourth and Fifth Report. WATER AND SOIL SCIENCE (JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF AGRICULTURE AND NATURAL RESOURCES), 22(2 ), 345-359. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/394514/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    MANSOURI A., AMINNEJAD B., AHMADI H.. Investigating the Effect of Climate Change on Inflow Runoff into the Karun-4 Dam Based on IPCC's Fourth and Fifth Report. WATER AND SOIL SCIENCE (JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF AGRICULTURE AND NATURAL RESOURCES)[Internet]. 2018;22(2 ):345-359. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/394514/en

    IEEE: Copy

    A. MANSOURI, B. AMINNEJAD, and H. AHMADI, “Investigating the Effect of Climate Change on Inflow Runoff into the Karun-4 Dam Based on IPCC's Fourth and Fifth Report,” WATER AND SOIL SCIENCE (JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF AGRICULTURE AND NATURAL RESOURCES), vol. 22, no. 2 , pp. 345–359, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/394514/en

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