Estimating The Substitution Elasticities of Import of Factory Industries Using Micro Data and Comparing Long-Term and Short-Term Elasticities

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YAZDANI M.; SADEGHI M.

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Journal: Journal of Program & Development Research Year:2020 | Volume:1 | Issue:4 Page(s): 153-184

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Title

Estimating The Substitution Elasticities of Import of Factory Industries Using Micro Data and Comparing Long-Term and Short-Term Elasticities

Author(s)

YAZDANI M. | SADEGHI M. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Armington Elasticity of Substitution

Disaggregated Data

Import

Manufacturing Industries

Panel Data

Abstract

Estimating the substitution elasticity of Imported products is a key parameter for analyzing trade policies, especially trade integration issues. In general, this elasticity represents the intensity of the impact of Import demand on domestic demand from the relative change in domestic prices to Import prices. In this study, the Armington substitution elasticities are estimated for 103 industries in the level of four-digit ISIC over the period 1371-1396. The data used for domestic manufacturing production are extracted from the Statistical Center of Iran. The domestic and Import price indices at the producer level are from the Central Bank of Iran, and the trade data are from the Islamic Republic of Iran Customs Administration. According to the results of estimated panel autoregressive distributed lag models, the industries with the highest positive elasticities of substitution are the "Manufacture of malt liquors and malt" and the "Manufacture of basic chemicals, except fertilizers and nitrogen Compounds" respectively. Moreover, industries with the lowest positive substitution elasticity are, "Tanning and dressing of leather" and "Building and repairing of pleasure and sporting boats except ships" respectively. Accordingly, in industries with positive substitution elasticity, it is possible to replace foreign consumption with domestically produced goods. Long-term elasticities are also significantly higher than short-term tensions (6. 7 times).

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APA: Copy

YAZDANI, M., & SADEGHI, M.. (2020). Estimating The Substitution Elasticities of Import of Factory Industries Using Micro Data and Comparing Long-Term and Short-Term Elasticities. JOURNAL OF PROGRAM AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 1(4 ), 153-184. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/396239/en

Vancouver: Copy

YAZDANI M., SADEGHI M.. Estimating The Substitution Elasticities of Import of Factory Industries Using Micro Data and Comparing Long-Term and Short-Term Elasticities. JOURNAL OF PROGRAM AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2020;1(4 ):153-184. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/396239/en

IEEE: Copy

M. YAZDANI, and M. SADEGHI, “Estimating The Substitution Elasticities of Import of Factory Industries Using Micro Data and Comparing Long-Term and Short-Term Elasticities,” JOURNAL OF PROGRAM AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 1, no. 4 , pp. 153–184, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/396239/en

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