Future Study of Possible Scenarios of Terrorist Groups in Sistan and Baluchestan Province

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KAVIANI HASSAN; EBRAHIMI HOSSEIN; Saedi Bijan

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Journal: DEFENSE STRATEGY Year:2019 | Volume:17 | Issue:65 Page(s): 111-139

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Future Study of Possible Scenarios of Terrorist Groups in Sistan and Baluchestan Province

Author(s)

KAVIANI HASSAN | EBRAHIMI HOSSEIN | Saedi Bijan | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Future studies_scenario_terrorism_Sistan & Baluchestan province terrorist groupsQ1

Abstract

One of the major challenges regarding the security of our country is the operation of terrorist groups in Sistan &Baluchistan province. In this paper, in order to take appropriate measures to deal with the future threats of these groups, we seek to answer this question: "What are the possible scenarios of terrorist groups in Sistan & Baluchestan province in the period 2018-2028? In the present study, through consideration of theories and perspectives of 15 academic experts, political leaders and military commanders and Delphi method these possible scenarios were extracted and then they were prioritized using statistical methods. Based on the results of the research, the quantitative and qualitative increase of subversive actions, reinforcing and institutionalizing Salafist thinking and fomenting religious differences, expanding activities in both political and human rights areas, influencing members of parliament, city councils and local trustees are the most likely scenarios of terrorists groups in Sistan & Baluchistan province. Finally, based on the findings of this research, suggestions are presented in the form of military (hard) and soft (political, cultural and diplomatic) measures.

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APA: Copy

KAVIANI, HASSAN, EBRAHIMI, HOSSEIN, & Saedi, Bijan. (2019). Future Study of Possible Scenarios of Terrorist Groups in Sistan and Baluchestan Province. DEFENSE STRATEGY, 17(65 ), 111-139. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/398577/en

Vancouver: Copy

KAVIANI HASSAN, EBRAHIMI HOSSEIN, Saedi Bijan. Future Study of Possible Scenarios of Terrorist Groups in Sistan and Baluchestan Province. DEFENSE STRATEGY[Internet]. 2019;17(65 ):111-139. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/398577/en

IEEE: Copy

HASSAN KAVIANI, HOSSEIN EBRAHIMI, and Bijan Saedi, “Future Study of Possible Scenarios of Terrorist Groups in Sistan and Baluchestan Province,” DEFENSE STRATEGY, vol. 17, no. 65 , pp. 111–139, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/398577/en

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