The Effects of Diversification of Industrial Exports on the Instability of Foreign Exchange Earnings in Iran's Industrial

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Nasiri Hooman; Nonezhad Masoud; HAGHIGHAT ALI; EBRAHIMI MEHRZAD

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Paper Information

Journal: Journal of Economic Modelling Year:2020 | Volume:14 | Issue:2 (50) Page(s): 27-52

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Information Journal Paper

Title

The Effects of Diversification of Industrial Exports on the Instability of Foreign Exchange Earnings in Iran's Industrial

Author(s)

Nasiri Hooman | Nonezhad Masoud | HAGHIGHAT ALI | EBRAHIMI MEHRZAD | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Export DiversityQ1

Foreign Exchange EarningsQ1

Industrial ExportQ1

ARDL ModelQ1

Abstract

The main purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between the export diversification in the top industrial sub-sectors and its impact on the volatility of Foreign Exchange Earnings in Iran's industrial sector. Accordingly, quarterly data from 2002-2 to 2018-3 were collected in the top three industrial sub-sectors of the country and the autoregression method with distributed intervals was used for estimation. The findings indicate the positive effects of inflation and global income on short-term and long-term Foreign Exchange Earnings instability and the effect of concentration index of base metals sub-sector on industrial Foreign Exchange Earnings instability was positive and in non-metallic mineral products and workshop textiles has been negative and significant. Therefore, moving towards diversification in the metals sub-sector and focusing on the non-metallic mineral and textile sub-sectors will reduce the volatility of industrial foreign exchange earnings. Based on the results, it is suggested that the government reduce the instability of industrial Foreign Exchange Earnings by granting facilities, setting export and import customs tariffs in industrial sub-sectors, while directing production in terms of diversification or decentralization.

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APA: Copy

Nasiri, Hooman, Nonezhad, Masoud, HAGHIGHAT, ALI, & EBRAHIMI, MEHRZAD. (2020). The Effects of Diversification of Industrial Exports on the Instability of Foreign Exchange Earnings in Iran's Industrial. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 14(2 (50) ), 27-52. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/402622/en

Vancouver: Copy

Nasiri Hooman, Nonezhad Masoud, HAGHIGHAT ALI, EBRAHIMI MEHRZAD. The Effects of Diversification of Industrial Exports on the Instability of Foreign Exchange Earnings in Iran's Industrial. ECONOMIC MODELLING[Internet]. 2020;14(2 (50) ):27-52. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/402622/en

IEEE: Copy

Hooman Nasiri, Masoud Nonezhad, ALI HAGHIGHAT, and MEHRZAD EBRAHIMI, “The Effects of Diversification of Industrial Exports on the Instability of Foreign Exchange Earnings in Iran's Industrial,” ECONOMIC MODELLING, vol. 14, no. 2 (50) , pp. 27–52, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/402622/en

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