Business Cycle Synchronization and Patterns of Trade: Cases from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries

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Hosseini Atefeh; Barackchian Seyed Mahdi; MADANIZADEH SEYED ALI

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: THE JOURNAL OF PLANNING AND BUDGETING Year:2018 | Volume:23 | Issue:2 Page(s): 3-30

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Business Cycle Synchronization and Patterns of Trade: Cases from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries

Author(s)

Hosseini Atefeh | Barackchian Seyed Mahdi | MADANIZADEH SEYED ALI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Business Cycle SynchronizationQ2

GCC CountriesQ1

Trade PatternQ2

Common Correlated Effects EstimationQ1

Oil-Producing CountriesQ1

Abstract

Do similarities in Trade Patterns of GCC Countries (UAE, KSA, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman), which are geographically and politically alike and also enjoy oil income, affect the synchronization of their business cycles and make them have similar booms and busts? In this paper, we attempt to connect these two features and explore this question. Using various estimation methods (Common Correlated Effect Estimation, OLS, and GSL) and the data for these 6 countries from 1980-2012, we show that the Trade Patterns of the countries have a significant and positive effect on the synchronization of their business cycles. Knowing such Business Cycle Synchronization among countries and exploring its effective factors can be helpful for policymakers in making decisions.

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APA: Copy

Hosseini, Atefeh, Barackchian, Seyed Mahdi, & MADANIZADEH, SEYED ALI. (2018). Business Cycle Synchronization and Patterns of Trade: Cases from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries. THE JOURNAL OF PLANNING AND BUDGETING, 23(2 ), 3-30. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/404831/en

Vancouver: Copy

Hosseini Atefeh, Barackchian Seyed Mahdi, MADANIZADEH SEYED ALI. Business Cycle Synchronization and Patterns of Trade: Cases from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries. THE JOURNAL OF PLANNING AND BUDGETING[Internet]. 2018;23(2 ):3-30. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/404831/en

IEEE: Copy

Atefeh Hosseini, Seyed Mahdi Barackchian, and SEYED ALI MADANIZADEH, “Business Cycle Synchronization and Patterns of Trade: Cases from Gulf Cooperation Council Countries,” THE JOURNAL OF PLANNING AND BUDGETING, vol. 23, no. 2 , pp. 3–30, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/404831/en

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