Dynamic Forecasting of Student Population and School Space Planning in the Country

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Moosavi Sayyedeh Sara; PISHVAEE MIR SAMAN

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES Year:2020 | Volume:10 | Issue:40 Page(s): 129-149

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Dynamic Forecasting of Student Population and School Space Planning in the Country

Author(s)

Moosavi Sayyedeh Sara | PISHVAEE MIR SAMAN | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Student PopulationQ1

Educational Area Per CapitaQ1

Budget of Building SchoolsQ1

system dynamicsQ1

Aging ChainQ1

Abstract

The education system is one of the main infrastrations of society that provides effective human resources. The first step in implementing training programs is to have a suitable and sufficient space. There is currently a significant shortage of educational resources in the country. Given the goal of increasing academic coverage in the country's vision documents, it is necessary to plan for the provision of educational resources. In this study, the total population of primary and secondary school students in the country is predicted using dynamic system simulation until 1420, and then various policies related to the budget allocated to the Organization for Renovation, Development and Equipping of Schools Has been reviewed. The results suggest that if fertility behavior continues as it is now, the Student Population will increase in the coming years and will decline after its peak in the 1400s. If the budget allocated for the construction of schools has a figure in accordance with the amount announced for the year 1398, we will face a serious decrease in the per capita area of educational space. In a budget scenario twice this amount, the per capita education will be less than one square meter, and in a budget scenario 3 times, after 5 years, the per capita education of the country's schools will improve.

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APA: Copy

Moosavi, Sayyedeh Sara, & PISHVAEE, MIR SAMAN. (2020). Dynamic Forecasting of Student Population and School Space Planning in the Country. JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES, 10(40 ), 129-149. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/410031/en

Vancouver: Copy

Moosavi Sayyedeh Sara, PISHVAEE MIR SAMAN. Dynamic Forecasting of Student Population and School Space Planning in the Country. JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES[Internet]. 2020;10(40 ):129-149. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/410031/en

IEEE: Copy

Sayyedeh Sara Moosavi, and MIR SAMAN PISHVAEE, “Dynamic Forecasting of Student Population and School Space Planning in the Country,” JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES, vol. 10, no. 40 , pp. 129–149, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/410031/en

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