A METHOD FOR ESTIMATING THE VARIABLE GROWTH RATE OF POPULATION

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WAGHEI Y.; BELADI MOUSAVI SEYED SEYF ELAH; FARID ROUHANI M.R.

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ISSN: 2588-4824

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Journal: JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES Year:2003 | Volume:12-13 | Issue:44-45 Page(s): 261-281

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Title

A METHOD FOR ESTIMATING THE VARIABLE GROWTH RATE OF POPULATION

Author(s)

WAGHEI Y. | BELADI MOUSAVI SEYED SEYF ELAH | FARID ROUHANI M.R. | Issue Writer Certificate

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Abstract

Under current conditions in Iran it is not possible that the growth rate remain constant. The Vital statistics of birth and death and the result of 1365, 1370 and 1375 (1986, 1991 and 1996) censuses of Iran show that in the decade 1365-1375 the growth rate of population had a downward trend. But this trend has never been displayed by figure or number. In this article a method for estimating the variable growth rate of population is proposed and used for estimating the growth rate of population for Iran and its provinces. The result show that the growth rate of population in 1366 was about 2.9 percent and has decreased gradually to 2.1 and 1.1 percent in 1370 and 1375 respectively. Although the proposed method by itself is valid, the numerical results are valid when the undercount rate is equal in three censuses. The importance of the proposed method is that most demographers and population institutes use observed growth rate between two censuses and disregard its time variation.

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APA: Copy

WAGHEI, Y., BELADI MOUSAVI, SEYED SEYF ELAH, & FARID ROUHANI, M.R.. (2003). A METHOD FOR ESTIMATING THE VARIABLE GROWTH RATE OF POPULATION. JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES, 12-13(44-45), 261-281. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/530312/en

Vancouver: Copy

WAGHEI Y., BELADI MOUSAVI SEYED SEYF ELAH, FARID ROUHANI M.R.. A METHOD FOR ESTIMATING THE VARIABLE GROWTH RATE OF POPULATION. JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES[Internet]. 2003;12-13(44-45):261-281. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/530312/en

IEEE: Copy

Y. WAGHEI, SEYED SEYF ELAH BELADI MOUSAVI, and M.R. FARID ROUHANI, “A METHOD FOR ESTIMATING THE VARIABLE GROWTH RATE OF POPULATION,” JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES, vol. 12-13, no. 44-45, pp. 261–281, 2003, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/530312/en

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