ESTIMATING THE UNDERGROUND ECONOMY IN IRAN (1965-2005): A MIMIC APPROACH

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SAMETI MAJID; SAMETI MORTEZA; DALAAEI MILAN ALI

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Journal: International Economics Studies Year:2010 | Volume:2 | Issue:35 Page(s): 89-114

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Title

ESTIMATING THE UNDERGROUND ECONOMY IN IRAN (1965-2005): A MIMIC APPROACH

Author(s)

SAMETI MAJID | SAMETI MORTEZA | DALAAEI MILAN ALI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

UNDERGROUND ECONOMY

MULTIPLE INDICATORS-MULTIPLE CAUSES APPROACH (MIMC)

IRAN

Abstract

This study uses "Multiple Indicators-Multiple Causes" (MIMIC) approach to model the causal relations between main variables, which determine the UNDERGROUND ECONOMY in IRAN. We Basically, it examines the relationship between underground and official GDP in IRAN, using annual time-series data for IRAN during 1965-2005. Accordingly, it is found that the estimated size of the UNDERGROUND ECONOMY varies from 6.24 percent in 1965 to 26.15 percent of the formal economy in 2005, while the related minimum and maximum values were 5.50 and 27.76 percent of the economy in 1967 and 2001, respectively. The UNDERGROUND ECONOMY is significantly and positively affected by variables such as unemployment and inflation, but negatively by the degree of economic openness.

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APA: Copy

SAMETI, MAJID, SAMETI, MORTEZA, & DALAAEI MILAN, ALI. (2010). ESTIMATING THE UNDERGROUND ECONOMY IN IRAN (1965-2005): A MIMIC APPROACH. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS STUDIES (RESEARCH BULLETIN OF ISFAHAN UNIVERSITY (HUMANITIES)), 2(35), 89-114. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/571019/en

Vancouver: Copy

SAMETI MAJID, SAMETI MORTEZA, DALAAEI MILAN ALI. ESTIMATING THE UNDERGROUND ECONOMY IN IRAN (1965-2005): A MIMIC APPROACH. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS STUDIES (RESEARCH BULLETIN OF ISFAHAN UNIVERSITY (HUMANITIES))[Internet]. 2010;2(35):89-114. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/571019/en

IEEE: Copy

MAJID SAMETI, MORTEZA SAMETI, and ALI DALAAEI MILAN, “ESTIMATING THE UNDERGROUND ECONOMY IN IRAN (1965-2005): A MIMIC APPROACH,” INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS STUDIES (RESEARCH BULLETIN OF ISFAHAN UNIVERSITY (HUMANITIES)), vol. 2, no. 35, pp. 89–114, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/571019/en

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