DYNAMICS OF IRANIAN TRADE WITH TEN TRADE PARTNERS TO EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ACCORDING TO FINANCIAL CRISIS INDEX

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TORKI LEILA; TAYEBI SEYED KOMAIL; YAZDANI MEHDI; FATHI ELHAM

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Journal: ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW Year:2014 | Volume:14 | Issue:53 Page(s): 167-196

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Title

DYNAMICS OF IRANIAN TRADE WITH TEN TRADE PARTNERS TO EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ACCORDING TO FINANCIAL CRISIS INDEX

Author(s)

TORKI LEILA | TAYEBI SEYED KOMAIL | YAZDANI MEHDI | FATHI ELHAM | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

TRADE BALANCEQ2

FINANCIAL CRISISQ2

REAL EXCHANGE RATEQ2

ARDLQ2

Abstract

An appropriate solution to resolve trade deficit is national currency devaluation. This policy is, at least in the long term, useful. It is based on the logic that any devaluation of national currency in the form of market mechanism reduces the trade deficit. On the other hand the TRADE BALANCE of countries are affected by several factors including the international financial conditions that change the volume of international transactions and in this way affect the economy as a whole and TRADE BALANCE in particular.The purpose of this paper is to study the factors affecting TRADE BALANCE between Iran and her ten trading partners with considerations of the FINANCIAL CRISIS index as a symbol of the international financial conditions. For this purpose, a time series is specified and then estimated by ARDL and error correction model (ECM) for the period of 1981-2009. Also the effects of the FINANCIAL CRISIS on TRADE BALANCE using Impulse Response Functions are considered.The results show that J curve is only confirmed for the bilateral trade of Iran with China and Italy and for the other countries, with consideration of the FINANCIAL CRISIS, this hypothesis is rejected. It should be noted that all coefficients are stable with respect to the CUSUM and CUSUMQ tests.

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APA: Copy

TORKI, LEILA, TAYEBI, SEYED KOMAIL, YAZDANI, MEHDI, & FATHI, ELHAM. (2014). DYNAMICS OF IRANIAN TRADE WITH TEN TRADE PARTNERS TO EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ACCORDING TO FINANCIAL CRISIS INDEX. ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, 14(53), 167-196. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/67213/en

Vancouver: Copy

TORKI LEILA, TAYEBI SEYED KOMAIL, YAZDANI MEHDI, FATHI ELHAM. DYNAMICS OF IRANIAN TRADE WITH TEN TRADE PARTNERS TO EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ACCORDING TO FINANCIAL CRISIS INDEX. ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW[Internet]. 2014;14(53):167-196. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/67213/en

IEEE: Copy

LEILA TORKI, SEYED KOMAIL TAYEBI, MEHDI YAZDANI, and ELHAM FATHI, “DYNAMICS OF IRANIAN TRADE WITH TEN TRADE PARTNERS TO EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ACCORDING TO FINANCIAL CRISIS INDEX,” ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, vol. 14, no. 53, pp. 167–196, 2014, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/67213/en

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