IDENTIFYING BUSINESS CYCLE TURNING POINTS IN REAL TIME: CASE OF IRAN

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MOHAMMADI TEYMOUR; SAFARZADEH ESMAEILI; MOUSAVI MIRHOSSEIN

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Journal: ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW Year:2009 | Volume:10 | Issue:3 (34) Page(s): 65-89

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Title

IDENTIFYING BUSINESS CYCLE TURNING POINTS IN REAL TIME: CASE OF IRAN

Author(s)

MOHAMMADI TEYMOUR | SAFARZADEH ESMAEILI | MOUSAVI MIRHOSSEIN | Issue Writer Certificate

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Abstract

When a business cycle enters to new phase is more important. Because the policies usually affect economy with some internal and external delays. It is possible that a policy designed on recession period affect economy in expansionary phase. For this reason it is very important to identify business cycle turning points in real time. These points occur on future and are expected factors, then must to be forecasted.In this paper we estimated business cycle turning points in Iran economy using advanced statistic methods: such as mixed provident - indicators and Markow chains.

Cites

COMPARING THE PERFORMANCE OF ARIMA AND MS-AR MODELS TO FORECAST BUSINESS CYCLES IN IRAN

References

ARE BUSSINESS CYCLES SYMMETRIC IN IRAN?

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APA: Copy

MOHAMMADI, TEYMOUR, SAFARZADEH, ESMAEILI, & MOUSAVI, MIRHOSSEIN. (2009). IDENTIFYING BUSINESS CYCLE TURNING POINTS IN REAL TIME: CASE OF IRAN. ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, 10(3 (34)), 65-89. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/67292/en

Vancouver: Copy

MOHAMMADI TEYMOUR, SAFARZADEH ESMAEILI, MOUSAVI MIRHOSSEIN. IDENTIFYING BUSINESS CYCLE TURNING POINTS IN REAL TIME: CASE OF IRAN. ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW[Internet]. 2009;10(3 (34)):65-89. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/67292/en

IEEE: Copy

TEYMOUR MOHAMMADI, ESMAEILI SAFARZADEH, and MIRHOSSEIN MOUSAVI, “IDENTIFYING BUSINESS CYCLE TURNING POINTS IN REAL TIME: CASE OF IRAN,” ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, vol. 10, no. 3 (34), pp. 65–89, 2009, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/67292/en

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