THE EFFECT OF AGRICULTURE EXPORTS INCONSTANCY ON AGRICULTURE SECTOR

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MIRJALILI Y.; KHALILIAN S.; FIROZABADI SOMAYE

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Journal: Iranian Journal of Trade Studies Year:2012 | Volume:16 | Issue:63 Page(s): 1-25

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Information Journal Paper

Title

THE EFFECT OF AGRICULTURE EXPORTS INCONSTANCY ON AGRICULTURE SECTOR

Author(s)

MIRJALILI Y. | KHALILIAN S. | FIROZABADI SOMAYE | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

EXPORT INCONSTANCYQ2

AGRICULTURAL SECTOR GROWTHQ2

EXPORT SUPPLYQ2

ARDLQ2

Abstract

In many of developing countries, a great share of imports includes intermediate and investment goods as production factors. As such imports are financed by export income; inconstancy of export income causes imports of such product factors to reduce so that economic growth decreases. Price change and fluctuation lead to macroeconomics changes that are demonstrated in GDP inconstancy and lead to gap between potential and effective advantages arising from international specialization.In this study, inconstancy of export income in agricultural sector of Iran during 1959-2006 and its effect on the growth of this sector and EXPORT SUPPLY of agricultural products are investigated. Results show that maximum fluctuation in agriculture export took place in the first and second development plan when government started adjustment policies in the beginning of 1990s. If agricultural EXPORT INCONSTANCY increases one percent the growth of agricultural sector will decrease 0.18 percent so it’s essential to recognize the factors of inconstancy and to use approaches to decrease it. Estimation of agricultural EXPORT SUPPLY model demonstrates that each unit increase 2 in agriculture products will cause 0.3 unit increase in the export of this sector. Moreover, each unit decrease in the value of national currency will cause 1.6 unit increases in the export of agricultural sector. Therefore it should be considered in adopting exchange policies. Long-term equilibrium relationship between agricultural export function reveals that export instability, have a positive effect on agricultural exports and can be said that because during almost every years, the amounts of sector export earnings instability, are positive, manufacturers and exporters consider it permanent.

Cites

THE EFFECT OF TRADE INSTABILITY ON GROWTH OF AGRICULTURE SUB-SECTORS IN IRAN

References

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APA: Copy

MIRJALILI, Y., KHALILIAN, S., & FIROZABADI, SOMAYE. (2012). THE EFFECT OF AGRICULTURE EXPORTS INCONSTANCY ON AGRICULTURE SECTOR. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS), 16(63), 1-25. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/7127/en

Vancouver: Copy

MIRJALILI Y., KHALILIAN S., FIROZABADI SOMAYE. THE EFFECT OF AGRICULTURE EXPORTS INCONSTANCY ON AGRICULTURE SECTOR. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS)[Internet]. 2012;16(63):1-25. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/7127/en

IEEE: Copy

Y. MIRJALILI, S. KHALILIAN, and SOMAYE FIROZABADI, “THE EFFECT OF AGRICULTURE EXPORTS INCONSTANCY ON AGRICULTURE SECTOR,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS), vol. 16, no. 63, pp. 1–25, 2012, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/7127/en

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