AN INVESTIGATION OF THE IRANIAN THERMAL ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION DEMAND FOR FUELS AND THEIR SUBSTITUTABILITY (1974-2001)

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MARZBAN H.; AKBARIAN R.; GHASEMI A.

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT (THE ECONOMIC RESEARCH) Year:2005 | Volume:5 | Issue:16 Page(s): 51-74

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Title

AN INVESTIGATION OF THE IRANIAN THERMAL ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION DEMAND FOR FUELS AND THEIR SUBSTITUTABILITY (1974-2001)

Author(s)

MARZBAN H. | AKBARIAN R. | GHASEMI A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

FUEL DEMANDQ3

THERMAL POWER GENERATIONQ4

TRANSLOG COST FUNCTIONQ4

SHORTRUNQ3

SUBSTITUTION ELASTICITIESQ2

LOAD FACTORQ3

Abstract

In this study a short-run non-homothetic TRANSLOG COST FUNCTION is employed to investigate the Iranian thermal electric power generation demand for fuels (gas oil, fuel oil and natural gas) and their substitutability. A model including fuel shares is specified for this purpose. Time series data and Zellner’s iterative seemingly unrelated regression (ISUR) is used to estimate the model. Results of this study are as follow:-Mean own and cross price elasticities of fuels are very low and less than unity.-Morishima elasticities show that all the fuels have rather low short-run substitutability.-The evidence supports the presence of an induced exogenous technical change which is non-neutral (natural gas using, but fuel oil, gas oil saving).-The elasticities of the average fuel productivities are less than one, which show the average fuel productivities are insensitive to the changes in output level.-The results indicate that the pattern of scale effect is natural gas saving, but fuel oil, gas oil using.-Gas oil and fuel oil are sensitive and natural gas is insensitive to the changes in output level.-The result of the likelihood ratio test indicates rejection of the null hypothesis which could be interpreted as ineffectiveness of the system LOAD FACTOR on the overall fuel choice.-The system LOAD FACTOR elasticities for the fuel shares are more than one, which show elastic demand for three fuels with respect to annual volume of system LOAD FACTOR.

Cites

ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING CHANGES IN CO2 EMISSIONS OF POWER PLANTS OF IRAN, (1999-2008)

References

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APA: Copy

MARZBAN, H., AKBARIAN, R., & GHASEMI, A.. (2005). AN INVESTIGATION OF THE IRANIAN THERMAL ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION DEMAND FOR FUELS AND THEIR SUBSTITUTABILITY (1974-2001). JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT (THE ECONOMIC RESEARCH), 5(16), 51-74. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/86704/en

Vancouver: Copy

MARZBAN H., AKBARIAN R., GHASEMI A.. AN INVESTIGATION OF THE IRANIAN THERMAL ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION DEMAND FOR FUELS AND THEIR SUBSTITUTABILITY (1974-2001). JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT (THE ECONOMIC RESEARCH)[Internet]. 2005;5(16):51-74. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/86704/en

IEEE: Copy

H. MARZBAN, R. AKBARIAN, and A. GHASEMI, “AN INVESTIGATION OF THE IRANIAN THERMAL ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION DEMAND FOR FUELS AND THEIR SUBSTITUTABILITY (1974-2001),” JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT (THE ECONOMIC RESEARCH), vol. 5, no. 16, pp. 51–74, 2005, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/86704/en

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