ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT IN TAROM-E OLIA COUNTY, IRAN: PATHWAYS FOR MANAGEMENT

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JAFARI FATEMEH; SHABANALI FAMI HOSEIN; YOUNESI ASL ALIREZA

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Seminar Paper

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Seminar: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
Year:2015 | Issue:1

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Title

ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT IN TAROM-E OLIA COUNTY, IRAN: PATHWAYS FOR MANAGEMENT

Author(s)

JAFARI FATEMEH | SHABANALI FAMI HOSEIN | YOUNESI ASL ALIREZA

Keywords

DROUGHT

ECONOMIC EFFECTS

FARMERS

AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT

DROUGHT MANAGEMENT

TAROM-E OLIA COUNTY

Abstract

&NBSP;DROUGHT IS ASSOCIATED WITH A HOST OF COMPLEX AND INTERWOVEN DETRIMENTAL EFFECTS WHICH NOT ONLY AFFECT SOCIO-ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES IN ONE REGION BUT ALSO EXERT INFLUENCE ON SURROUNDING AREAS. KNOWLEDGE ABOUT THE EFFECTS OF THIS NATURAL HAZARD HELPS REDUCE RISKS LONG BEFORE THE PHENOMENON ACTUALLY TAKES PLACE PARTICULARLY WHEN MAKING NECESSARY DECISIONS. THIS PAPER FOCUSES ON THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF DROUGHT FOR AGRICULTURE SECTOR AND RELEVANT MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES IN TAROM-E OLIA COUNTY, ZANJAN PROVINCE, IRAN. THIS SURVEY TAKES A DESCRIPTIVE-CORRELATIONAL APPROACH AND ITS STATISTICAL POPULATION CONSISTS OF ALL FARMERS RESIDING IN TAROM-E OLIA COUNTY (N=12000). USING COCHRAN’S FORMULA AND STRATIFIED SAMPLING METHOD 375 FARMERS WERE SELECTED. THE RESEARCH INSTRUMENT WAS A QUESTIONNAIRE. A PANEL OF FACULTY MEMBERS AND EXPERTS CONFIRMED THE VALIDITY OF THE QUESTIONNAIRE. TO TEST THE RELIABILITY OF SCALES, ALPHA CRONBACH'S COEFFICIENT WAS USED WHICH PROVED TO BE ACCEPTABLE (0.908). DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS WERE USED TO DETERMINE FREQUENCIES. ALSO, FACTOR ANALYSIS WAS APPLIED TO SUMMARIZE MECHANISMS IN SMALLER NUMBER OF FACTORS. RESULTS OF THE RANKING OF THE ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF DROUGHT REVEALED THAT "INCREASE IN DEMAND FOR LOAN" AND "LOWER PURCHASING POWER" AND "SCARCITY OF IRRIGATION WATER" ARE AT THE TOP OF THE LIST. 26 ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF DROUGHT WERE EXTRACTED IN 6 FACTORS. ALSO, RESULTS OF MULTIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS REVEALED THAT %47 OF THE VARIANCE IS EXPLAINED BY 5 VARIABLES INCLUDING "ENVIRONMENTAL VULNERABILITY", "SIZE OF MECHANIZED ORCHARDS", "USE OF UNDER PRESSURE IRRIGATION SYSTEM", "PARTICIPATION IN AGRICULTURAL TRAINING PROGRAMS", AND "AGRICULTURAL INSURANCE".

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APA: Copy

JAFARI, FATEMEH, SHABANALI FAMI, HOSEIN, & YOUNESI ASL, ALIREZA. (2015). ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT IN TAROM-E OLIA COUNTY, IRAN: PATHWAYS FOR MANAGEMENT. INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/909089/en

Vancouver: Copy

JAFARI FATEMEH, SHABANALI FAMI HOSEIN, YOUNESI ASL ALIREZA. ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT IN TAROM-E OLIA COUNTY, IRAN: PATHWAYS FOR MANAGEMENT. 2015. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/909089/en

IEEE: Copy

FATEMEH JAFARI, HOSEIN SHABANALI FAMI, and ALIREZA YOUNESI ASL, “ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT IN TAROM-E OLIA COUNTY, IRAN: PATHWAYS FOR MANAGEMENT,” presented at the INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING. 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/909089/en

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