Trade War and the Balanced Trade-Monetary Theory

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Tajdini Saeid; Hamooni amir; Maghsoudi Jamal; JAFARI FARZAD; Lotfi Ghahroud Majid

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Journal Paper

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Journal: Journal of Mathematics and Modeling in Finance Year:2021 | Volume:1 | Issue:2 Page(s): 93-110

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Title

Trade War and the Balanced Trade-Monetary Theory

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Keywords

GDP per-capita

balanced trade ratio

Balanced Trade-Monetary Theory

Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Abstract

One of the longest-lasting controversies in the international macroeconomic literature is the purchasing power parity theory. It is the most controversial subject that has been tested with various econometric models in different timeframes and geographic data sets. It is a common assumption used regarding the exchange rate and the validity of the Law of One Price. The present article aimed to present a new model to estimate the fair value of exchange rate which is one of the most critical factors in trade balance among countries, based on Balanced Trade-Monetary Theory by assessing the under or over-valuation of currencies. We can assume that a country with a strong economy should have strong money and vice versa. The results showed undervaluation of the dollar versus Yuan, Pound and Yen by 1. 41, 1. 149, and 1. 126 times, respectively in 2018. Therefore, among the U. K., China, and Japan, Japan and the U. K. had a better trade balance with the U. S. than China.

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APA: Copy

Tajdini, Saeid, Hamooni, amir, Maghsoudi, Jamal, JAFARI, FARZAD, & Lotfi Ghahroud, Majid. (2021). Trade War and the Balanced Trade-Monetary Theory. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS AND MODELING IN FINANCE, 1(2), 93-110. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/979431/en

Vancouver: Copy

Tajdini Saeid, Hamooni amir, Maghsoudi Jamal, JAFARI FARZAD, Lotfi Ghahroud Majid. Trade War and the Balanced Trade-Monetary Theory. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS AND MODELING IN FINANCE[Internet]. 2021;1(2):93-110. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/979431/en

IEEE: Copy

Saeid Tajdini, amir Hamooni, Jamal Maghsoudi, FARZAD JAFARI, and Majid Lotfi Ghahroud, “Trade War and the Balanced Trade-Monetary Theory,” JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS AND MODELING IN FINANCE, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 93–110, 2021, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/979431/en

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