AN ESTIMATION OF THE INFLATIONARY IMPACTS OF ADJUSTING PRICES OF ENERGY SOURCES IN IRAN, UNDER ASSUMPTIONS OF GRADUAL AND ABRUPT CHANGES

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EMAMI MEIBODI ALI; HEIDARPOUR AFSHIN; KHOSHKALAM KHOSROSHAHI MUSA

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Journal: ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW Year:2011 | Volume:7 | Issue:27 Page(s): 69-99

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Title

AN ESTIMATION OF THE INFLATIONARY IMPACTS OF ADJUSTING PRICES OF ENERGY SOURCES IN IRAN, UNDER ASSUMPTIONS OF GRADUAL AND ABRUPT CHANGES

Author(s)

EMAMI MEIBODI ALI | HEIDARPOUR AFSHIN | KHOSHKALAM KHOSROSHAHI MUSA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ENERGY SOURCESQ2

I-O MODELQ2

COST PUSHQ3

DEMAND PULLQ3

INFLATIONQ3

Abstract

Given the high share of energy subsidies in Iran (25.9% of GDP in 2006), an assessment of likely INFLATIONary impacts of their removal is needed to provide policy makers with the requisite guidance for appropriate decision making. This paper thus assesses the likely INFLATIONary impacts of adjusting energy prices using an input- output model to evaluate COST PUSH and DEMAND PULL INFLATIONary impacts under scenarios of sudden and gradual changes. The results indicate that if the prices of all ENERGY SOURCES are increased at once, the consumer price index (CPI) will increase by 48.6 per cent and producer prices will rise by 63.6 percent. On the other hand, if prices are increased gradually over four years the average annual additional INFLATION will be 10.5 percent. The model further predicts a deman pull INFLATION of the order of 2.7 percent, which will result in an overall additional INFLATION of 4 percent, taking into account the money multiplier of 1.5.

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APA: Copy

EMAMI MEIBODI, ALI, HEIDARPOUR, AFSHIN, & KHOSHKALAM KHOSROSHAHI, MUSA. (2011). AN ESTIMATION OF THE INFLATIONARY IMPACTS OF ADJUSTING PRICES OF ENERGY SOURCES IN IRAN, UNDER ASSUMPTIONS OF GRADUAL AND ABRUPT CHANGES. ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW, 7(27), 69-99. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/99523/en

Vancouver: Copy

EMAMI MEIBODI ALI, HEIDARPOUR AFSHIN, KHOSHKALAM KHOSROSHAHI MUSA. AN ESTIMATION OF THE INFLATIONARY IMPACTS OF ADJUSTING PRICES OF ENERGY SOURCES IN IRAN, UNDER ASSUMPTIONS OF GRADUAL AND ABRUPT CHANGES. ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW[Internet]. 2011;7(27):69-99. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/99523/en

IEEE: Copy

ALI EMAMI MEIBODI, AFSHIN HEIDARPOUR, and MUSA KHOSHKALAM KHOSROSHAHI, “AN ESTIMATION OF THE INFLATIONARY IMPACTS OF ADJUSTING PRICES OF ENERGY SOURCES IN IRAN, UNDER ASSUMPTIONS OF GRADUAL AND ABRUPT CHANGES,” ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW, vol. 7, no. 27, pp. 69–99, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/99523/en

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