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Journal: 

ENTIZAR E MOUD

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2013
  • Volume: 

    13
  • Issue: 

    40
  • Pages: 

    7-30
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    1110
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

The under-investigation subject in this research is Messianism and futurology which examines the concepts of Messianism and futurology and the relationship between them and also their functions. Since futurology examines the knowledge or the study of possible and desired future of a society, we can estimate the possible future of a society based on understanding of the past and conditions of the present time. This issue has a special place in Islamic societies, because in religious perspective, forming future in the appearance of the Expected Imam is a clear and comprehensive answer to the natural and fundamental questions of human in relation to the desirable and aspirational life of future. Despite some differences in assumptions, questions and goals between futurology and Messianic studies, similarities between them has caused a detailed ratio which provides the possibility of close and mutual interaction with maintaining their epistemic and methodic independence of each other.

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Author(s): 

POUR ROSTAMIE HAMED

Journal: 

ENTIZAR E MOUD

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2013
  • Volume: 

    13
  • Issue: 

    40
  • Pages: 

    31-48
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    1096
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Futurology” is the art of shaping the future, the way we want it to be. In this perspective, futurism is the knowledge of understanding changes, and knowing the future is the most critical science human beings need. In Islam, “Messianism” is the beating heart of any future-oriented research and a Muslim futurist cannot ignore the capacities and teachings of Messianic culture in their research, but this field of study demands special research requirements and necessities. It seems these necessities and requirements can be investigated in three theoretical necessities such as 1) hopeful optimism, 2) qualitative view toward appearance not the quantitative one, and methodical requirements such as 1) mechanism to predict the future, 2) calm and legal government in the process of research and its conclusions and propagandistic requisites such as 1) explaining the Messianic doctrine’s fundamentals of thought and epistemical materials and providing indicators of right and wrong, 2) representing the functions of Messianic society. Some of these requisites are presented in this paper.

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Author(s): 

MOZAFARI A.

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2010
  • Volume: 

    2
  • Issue: 

    4
  • Pages: 

    25-47
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    3069
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Futurology is studies that have tracked attention the view of most researchers and innovative persons and there could be very effective for other sciences. Subject territory of futurology is covering all parts of culture, economic, politics, technology, and art, also with look at the future changes this science is going to rise. At thought, we can not make standard territory for surveying future period, but usually there could not be more than a few decades. Futurologies have basic and principles for their researching including to, although future is not predictable certainly but also that is not absolutely unpredictable. We can to know most topics and value about future and this is the most useful knowledge. Another things that there is always some view about future that could be better or most but all the sciences are getting to some predict about their subjects and their topics. At the result, science is one of principal of futurology that culled tomorrow methods structure which to give human more ability for predict.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2012
  • Volume: 

    4
  • Issue: 

    1 (13)
  • Pages: 

    21-42
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    2885
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

The present paper investigates the futurology of Iran's population, in which a demographic-documentary analysis is used as its method. The most recent demographic predictions (2012) for world's countries, made by United Nations Population Division, indicate that Iran's population, according to three scenarios of UN (lower level, medium level and higher level), will reach to 87.7, 96.8 and 106 million people, respectively. According to the adjusted scenario which is proposed by the authors of this paper, Iran's population will reach to 91 million people in 1420 (2041).The received results indicate that under replacement level fertility (less than 2.1 infants born alive for each mother) will continue in Iran, which highlights the necessity of futuristic planning for managing seniority in the country. Improvement and reinforcement of family foundation and promotion of religious and Islamic values which are mostly family-based can help to promote the level of fertility and amend the age pyramid of population.

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Journal: 

RASANEH

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2024
  • Volume: 

    35
  • Issue: 

    1 (134 پیاپی)
  • Pages: 

    103-129
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    81
  • Downloads: 

    11
Abstract: 

The purpose of this research is to identify possible futures for provincial media in a ten-year time horizon. This is a qualitative research, which uses the Delphi method applying theme analysis to study the data obtained from open questionnaires and interviews. Also futurology and Schwartz's method were used in scenario writing to portray the future. The statistical community includes 26 national and provincial media experts, futurology professors, and former and current managers of provincial radio and television stations, who were selected through purposeful sampling and snowball method. The results of the research showed that the trends of radio and television in the centers of the provinces are: media competition, the growth of social media, new business models, the importance of the audience in the media, the improvement of the quality of the programs and the local operation of the media; According to the scores of the ‘importance’ and ‘uncertainty’ matrix, the two main drivers of concentration versus decentralization of decision-making and independence or participation of the media were chosen to identify the scenarios and portray the future. Also based on the experts' scores, the priority of the scenarios and their corresponding future were determined:  Making the media (paying attention to local culture and coverage), audience-oriented media, moving towards social media (maximum activity in the virtual space), convergence of media, emphasis on programming and improving the quality of the program; Emphasis on the continuation of the current trend of the centers and the presence of the media in the virtual space, the authority of the provincial media and their survival. The possible futures, in order of importance, include media audience orientation, media participation and cooperation, development of activity and maintaining authority.

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Author(s): 

ELAHINEJAD HOSSEIN

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2019
  • Volume: 

    1
  • Issue: 

    1
  • Pages: 

    56-74
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    402
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

The current paper will examine Mahdiism studies as a novel and independent science with a new term through the field of futurology (future studies). The study starts with an introduction and continues with the expressing the lexical conceptualizations such as Mahdiism, future studies, and thesaurus studies and then deals with the domain of the study. The main objective of the study is to examine Mahdiism studies as a field with having a viewpoint to pastology (past studies) and futurology. Therefore, the research tries to explain Mahdiism studies with two early and later approaches and at last, illustrates the prospect of Mahdiism studies by two exploratory and normative approaches with a futurology attitude. In the exploratory approach, the paper considers Mahdiism studies a trend and field and in the normative approach, it is seen an interdisciplinary field as an independent Islamic science.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2020
  • Volume: 

    14
  • Issue: 

    1 (27)
  • Pages: 

    1-46
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    454
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Sustenance is one of the traditions that God has decreed for His creation and through it He provides the needs of His servants. This article seeks to explain the tradition of sustenance in light of the verses of the Qur'an and the narrations of Ahl al-Bayt (Holy Prophet's Household). Moreover, based on the Holy Verses and Hadiths (Traditions), the sub-traditions that lead to providing sustenance are explained. In total, this article addresses twenty rules associated with sustenance.

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Author(s): 

KHALATBARI FIROUZEH

Journal: 

STRATEGY

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2009
  • Volume: 

    18
  • Issue: 

    52 (SPECIAL ISSUE FOR ECONOMIC STUDIES)
  • Pages: 

    55-69
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    3600
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Futurology of energy in one of the topics deeply linked to sustainable development and global links between the countries. Given this, it is essential to see energy prospects in Iran on the basis of the above two links. Sustainable development requires a clean energy and reduction of pollution. This means a responsible approach to energy utilization should be adopted on both production and consumption sides. Moreover, attempts should be made to discover all sources of energy, design the strategy of creation of incentives to increase availability of renewable as well as substitutes for fossil fules, provide adequate capital for development of energy sector, adopt a fair approach to vulnerable consumers and small businesses and efficient management of energy production and consumption. The research shows that energy sector is large enough to attract venture capital and that the backstop technology has already become available. Hence, substitution of fossil fuels is an unavoidable prospect.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2023
  • Volume: 

    15
  • Issue: 

    1
  • Pages: 

    1-17
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    218
  • Downloads: 

    46
Abstract: 

Dou to the special importance of land use in Iran and the passage of over one year from the enactment and communication of National Land Use Document in March 2020 and the concerns about the practical steps to implement the provisions of National Land Use Document by executive organizations, the main question of this study is that in the light of the roles of related actors, how will this document be implemented? The research methodology of this study was actor-oriented, and the project was carried out based on exploratory and expert-based methods. Data were collected from 23 experts of Iran’s land use domain using a questionnaire. The data was analyzed using MACTOR futurology software. The results showed that from among the initial 33 effective actors in the Document implementation, 13 actors were selected as the main actors by the expert panel. It was observed that so far, no strong will has existed in those main actors to implement the National Land Use Document, and they don’t seem to be motivated to so in near future. In other words, the Document content and the potential of supervisory organizations are not so mandatory to force the main actors responsible for the implementation of the Document to put it into practice. Therefore, it is predicted that in future, the implementation of the Document will face serious challenges from institutions and actors. It is necessary for the responsible institutions (Planning and Budget Organization as well as Supreme Council of Land Use) to seriously follow up, make effective communications, bring about strong institutional combabilities among actors, and ask all implementing organizations to work in order to pave the ground for the formation of national will to implement the National Land Use Document as soon as possible.

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2011
  • Volume: 

    11
  • Issue: 

    42
  • Pages: 

    103-125
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    2129
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Futurology is a new notion which has not been thoroughly conceptualized and the related literature is not rich enough. Any concept is built in the course of its particular history by facing the insuring challenges and affairs. To address any concept, understanding the respective challenges seems to be significant. Futurology has been originated from the incapability of the concept of forecasting knowledge, policy making knowledge and knowledge of strategic management in addressing particular challenges that is why the identification of the challenges contributing to this conceptualization seems necessary. This article, focusing on the historical development of the notion of futurology, addresses the failures in forecasting to answer the upcoming questions; thereby the concept of futurology is also treated. The article, of course, revolves around the notion from organizational and national perspectives. As a conclusion, the article suggests a joint approach to employing these concepts in the process of futurology policy-making in organizations.

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