Journal of Management Future Research
Year:2018 | Volume:29 | Issue:112 |Papers Count:7

Background: Nowdays, regarding to rapid environmental changes and uncertainties due to it, “Foresight” is considered as a strategy for Future research can be considered as one of these strategies for water comprehensive management Objective: This article discusses about the Foresight of locational-spatial changes due to implementation of the project from the Sirvan River to dried regions in the county of Mehran (Arid Areas Project) on the horizon of 2029.Methods: The theoretical framework of this research is based on new approaches to prospective, analytical, and exploratory science, which is carried out using a combination of quantitative and qualitative models.Due to the nature of this research, have been used of Delphi methods, structural analysis and scenario analysis.findings: The data of this research includes 13 effective factors that were extracted from among 30 primary factors using Delphi method and Mick McAware software. Then, based on the idea of scenario planning, there were defined 52 possible and probable situations in the future of the county for the above factors and with the formation of a 52´52 matrix using the Scenario Wizard software, Finally extracted and analyzed 1 very desirable scenario, 11 desirable scenarios, 2 midway scenarios and continuation of the Continue current current situation, 8 scenarios on the eve of the crisis and 1 critical scenario that is in total of 23 believable scenarios.Conclusion: Possible scenarios, although they show high hopes for favorable conditions in the county, but on the other hand, do not consider the occurrence of critical situations as unexpected.

Reviews and investigations over the past decade shows that one of the main reasons for organizations fail in their efforts to develop and implement their strategies is failure to transfer and connect it to the staff, or in other word to lack of alignment between human resource management (HRM) and strategy. The Collection of efforts which are made to transfer and connect strategy to employees could be called as “Strategy communication”. Strategy communication consists of three elements which are: Strategy awareness, Strategy involvement, and strategy belief.A review of literature and research background reflects lack of a comprehensive customized model for assessing strategy communication in the context of country industries including automotive industry. The main research question is to identify and design subcomponent of the basic conceptual model of strategy communication which can be extracted from the research background. Therefore, the aim of this study is to recognize components of strategic communication and dominant relations between them in the automotive industry of the country and turn it into a strategic communication evaluation toolbox. The current research method is mix method that involves using a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. The design phase of communication model, expert’s interviews and content analysis template (coding and categorization) were applied and the pattern of Scott has been used as validation method.The findings show that in addition to strategic communication subcomponent that were detected in the review of literature and library reviews and research background, there are very special factors affecting the success of strategy communication efforts in the context of automotive industry among which we can mention: Continental Alignment between organizational culture with organizational strategy and managing cultural change plans (In the strategic involvement element), Being informed of upper stakeholders’ policy and strategy of international partners (In the strategic awareness element) and finally management consistency and transformational leadership style partners (In the strategic belief element).

Due to the high speed of relocation, air transportation has particular importance for the development of socio-economic systems of each region or country. The wide area of Iran in order to the geographical characteristics and economic growth speed has the high potential for the expansion of air transport. The main purpose of this paper is to the future study of Iran’s air travel demand and passenger terminals capacity. The paper has presented a method for developing the air passenger demand forecast model and the scenarios related to runway and passenger terminals capacity expansion. The approach meets the future demand from the point of view of system dynamics in the horizon of 2020. Although there are a number of studies in the air transport field based on the system dynamics, the researchers have not been conducted to investigate the demand for air travel and the development of passenger terminals capacity in Iran. Due to the developed model and study, the pessimistic and optimistic scenarios different sensitivity values have been compared within these three scenarios. Scenarios are designed based on capacity factors, the number of flights per day, the use of airport runways, and airline congestion. Using the different conditions of scenarios and predicting the conditions that may occur in the future for the country's airline industry, it is possible to test the overall behavior of the model. In order to verification and validation of the proposed method, Vensim system dynamics simulation have been used for model development and sensitivity analysis.

One of the characteristics of future wars is the plurality and diversity of actors and forces involved in the war, and the analysis of actors is a process by which actors are identified; their role and contribution in the intended program and the relationships of the actors are determined. To make Therefore, this research has been conducted with the aim of analyzing the main actors in the eastern and southeastern parts of the country to formulate controversy and possible ground warfare in the future. This research was exploratory and futuristic. In this regard, a panel of experts consisting of 11 tables of experts and experts in the field of war was formed and then interviewed with 9 senior officials associated with the situation in the region. Then, using the actor analysis method, the main actors in the future ground warfare in the area were identified and classified, and then the role of the actors and the relationship between them was identified.

In the recent competitive Business environments, the role of management accounting as a useful means for managers are important and vital. Management accounting can be used to improve the decision making process to create added values. The role of management accounting is the measurement & providing useful information (financial & nonfinancial) to manage and to motivate create the values to achieve the strategic objectives (Rahnamay, 1387a; 38). Performance measurement and making strategic decisions to keep permanence, continuing operations, and continuous improvement are important issues in strategic cost management.Frequent changes in business environment and its extreme effects on all aspects of businesses, causes to, management accounting as arm of managers in this environment, changes continually and demonstrates its roles as new paradigm in evolution of accounting knowledge. In this paper, first we investigate the role of management accounting in assessing an organization performance, and affecting context and contingent context elements including external uncertainties, organization strategy, technologies, organization structures and size of businesses, then introduce the innovations in performance measures in new business based on futurology approach. We concluded that to designing and implementing the perfect and appropriate performance measures, we should consider the contingent and contextual elements and futurology.

Background: One of the duties of universities was to empower students in a variety of fields, including understanding and research about the future which could be influenced by the quality of their learning experiences and creativity. Aim: The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between the quality of learning experiences and creativity with the growth of future- study ability among students in Islamic Azad University in Sari.Methods: The research method was correlation.370 persons were selected as a sample from 10527 students in the academic year of 2016-2017 according to Chocran formula. The sampling was done randomly. Data was collected by standard the quality of Newman's learning experiences (1990), Torrance's creativity (1990), and the prospect of future study by Parsa et al. (2011) questionnaires that their validity were confirmed by related experts. To assess the reliability of the questionnaires, Cronbach's alpha was calculated. Data were analyzed using KS, Pearson and Regression tests.Finding: The results showed that 68% of the variance in the ability of futures study was explained by the quality of learning and creativity experiences. And the quality of learning experiences with the beta coefficient of b=0.725 has the greatest relationship with development of student future study ability. Correlation between the dimensions of library and computer resources (r=0.601), content and value of the courses (r=0.729), learning flexibility (r=0.502), the quality of formal and informal relations between the student's professor (R=0.659) was confirmed with development of student future study ability with Sig<0.5. Fluid (r =.168), flexibility (r=0.733), initiative (r=0.38), expansion (r=0.614), with development of student future study ability with Sig<0.5 Confirmed.Conclusion: Learning experiences and their dimensions include library and computer resources, the content and value of the courses, the learning flexibility and the quality of the formal and informal relationships of the student's professor, as well as creativity and its dimensions including fluidity, flexibility, initiative and expansion had meaningful and positive relationship with development of student futures study ability.

Future studies are beyond prediction and mean the art of shaping the future, in the way we want the future. Today, technological change and, consequently, changes in other aspects of life, the increasing increase in the interdependence of nations and nations, the decentralization of existing societies and institutions, which has accelerated due to the development of information technology, Future studies of cultural capital in the family are debates that have a structural relationship with sustainable development. One of the basic needs of development in any society is the organization of the future developments of cultural capital. Due to the importance of the role of the family in Iran and the importance of the process of changing the cultural functions of the family, it is imperative that the family cultural capital be further studied and facilitate the path to sustainable cultural development. For this purpose, we have selected the dimensions for futures studies and are modeled according to their weight. The purpose of this paper is to explore the future of cultural capital of the family using the modeling method. For analyzing, PLS software has been used. The results of the research, after analyzing the structural factor, determined the weight and importance of measures in the conceptual model, with plans for their development, to achieve the desired future of cultural capital in the Iranian family.