ASSESSMENT OF SUSTAINABLE MMANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES OF JAMISHAN WATERSHED IN THE CLIMATE SCENARIOS

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PANAHI E.; BAFKAR A.; HAFEZPARAST M.

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Journal: IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH Year:2017 | Volume:13 | Issue:1 Page(s): 139-151

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Title

ASSESSMENT OF SUSTAINABLE MMANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES OF JAMISHAN WATERSHED IN THE CLIMATE SCENARIOS

Author(s)

PANAHI E. | BAFKAR A. | HAFEZPARAST M. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CLIMATE SCENARIOSQ1

WATERSHED SUSTAINABILITYQ1

IHACRESQ1

WEAPQ1

MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVEQ1

MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION MAKINGQ1

Abstract

In this study, changes in temperature and precipitation is calculated in two periods of 2020-2039 and 2040-2059 with the composition of the weighted average of seven climate model output under three emission scenarios. Then, discharge into the Jamishan dam was predicted in IHACRES daily model under the effect of climate change. Based on the results of the simulation scenarios of status quo and CLIMATE SCENARIOS in WEAP model, applicable MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVEs to the region in each scenario were simulated again. In regard of maintaining the sustainability of the basin, social, economic, and environmental criteria were considered and to assess each criterion a number of indicators were calculated. In order to prevent the effect of personal opinions the numerical objective weighting methods were used to reach the preferred alternative. Finally three dimensional matrix of scenario- alternative-index was solved by MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION MAKING methods. In overall, the results of the climate change showed that the annual precipitation and temperature are decreased and increased, respectively. The results of multi- criteria decision making showed that in S1 scenario the alternatives 6 and 2 were the best. In the period of 2020-2039 and under all three scenarios the alternatives 4 and 6 were the best.In the period of 2040-2059 the alternatives 4 and 2 in scenarios A1B and A2 and alternatives 4 and 6 in scenario B1 were the best.

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APA: Copy

PANAHI, E., BAFKAR, A., & HAFEZPARAST, M.. (2017). ASSESSMENT OF SUSTAINABLE MMANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES OF JAMISHAN WATERSHED IN THE CLIMATE SCENARIOS. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 13(1 ), 139-151. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/100417/en

Vancouver: Copy

PANAHI E., BAFKAR A., HAFEZPARAST M.. ASSESSMENT OF SUSTAINABLE MMANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES OF JAMISHAN WATERSHED IN THE CLIMATE SCENARIOS. IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH[Internet]. 2017;13(1 ):139-151. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/100417/en

IEEE: Copy

E. PANAHI, A. BAFKAR, and M. HAFEZPARAST, “ASSESSMENT OF SUSTAINABLE MMANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES OF JAMISHAN WATERSHED IN THE CLIMATE SCENARIOS,” IRAN-WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, vol. 13, no. 1 , pp. 139–151, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/100417/en

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