Predicting land use changes with emphasis on residential lands using CA-Markov model Case study (Bojnourd plain catchment)

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Hoseinzadeh Ahmad; KASHKI ABDOLREZA; Javidi Sabaghian Reza; KARAMI MOKHTAR

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF THE STUDIES OF HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PLANNING (JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL LANDSCAPE) Year:2021 | Volume:16 | Issue:2 (55) Page(s): 407-418

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Title

Predicting land use changes with emphasis on residential lands using CA-Markov model Case study (Bojnourd plain catchment)

Author(s)

Hoseinzadeh Ahmad | KASHKI ABDOLREZA | Javidi Sabaghian Reza | KARAMI MOKHTAR

Keywords

Bojnourd catchment

Land Use Change

CA-Markov model

Abstract

Understanding temporal and spatial changes in land use is essential for decision makers and community planners. Land use requires knowledge of the current trend and forecasting future developments in land use and land cover. In this study, using Landsat 7, 8 satellite images and CA-Markov model in EDRISI TerrSet software, simulation and prediction of Land Use Changes in Bojnourd catchment area in North Khorasan province has been performed. After making atmospheric and geometric corrections on the images of 2001 and 2019, a map predicting Land Use Changes has been produced for 2040. The validation of the model is done through the kappa coefficient, the value of which is 0. 92 for the land use map of 2001 and 0. 95 for 2019. The results of the model prediction show that in the study area, residential lands with the increase of more than 5 thousand hectares during the study period have the most changes. Also, most of the changes have been made around the city of Bojnourd.

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APA: Copy

Hoseinzadeh, Ahmad, KASHKI, ABDOLREZA, Javidi Sabaghian, Reza, & KARAMI, MOKHTAR. (2021). Predicting land use changes with emphasis on residential lands using CA-Markov model Case study (Bojnourd plain catchment). JOURNAL OF THE STUDIES OF HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PLANNING (JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL LANDSCAPE), 16(2 (55) ), 407-418. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/1031640/en

Vancouver: Copy

Hoseinzadeh Ahmad, KASHKI ABDOLREZA, Javidi Sabaghian Reza, KARAMI MOKHTAR. Predicting land use changes with emphasis on residential lands using CA-Markov model Case study (Bojnourd plain catchment). JOURNAL OF THE STUDIES OF HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PLANNING (JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL LANDSCAPE)[Internet]. 2021;16(2 (55) ):407-418. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/1031640/en

IEEE: Copy

Ahmad Hoseinzadeh, ABDOLREZA KASHKI, Reza Javidi Sabaghian, and MOKHTAR KARAMI, “Predicting land use changes with emphasis on residential lands using CA-Markov model Case study (Bojnourd plain catchment),” JOURNAL OF THE STUDIES OF HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PLANNING (JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL LANDSCAPE), vol. 16, no. 2 (55) , pp. 407–418, 2021, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/1031640/en

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