ENERGY DEMAND FORECASTING IN IRANIAN ECONOMICS BASED ON DECOMPOSITION APPROACH

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HEYDARI E.

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Journal: Journal of Economic Research Year:2005 | Volume:- | Issue:69 Page(s): 27-56

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Information Journal Paper

Title

ENERGY DEMAND FORECASTING IN IRANIAN ECONOMICS BASED ON DECOMPOSITION APPROACH

Author(s)

HEYDARI E. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

END-USE ENERGYQ4

DECOMPOSITIONQ4

PRODUCTION EFFECTSQ2

INTENSITY EFFECTSQ2

STRUCTURAL EFFECTSQ2

Abstract

Using a DECOMPOSITION model for a 15-year period in the form of the three scenarios of high, low and trend production growth rate, this study has predicted the demand (End - Use) for the three energy carriers in the economic production sectors include of, industry, agriculture, services, and transportation in Iranian Economics. The results show that the demand expansion path for gas and electricity is sharp. This means that due to the STRUCTURAL EFFECTS and energy INTENSITY EFFECTS we are witnessing an increase in consumption in all the three scenarios. The results also indicate considerable savings in the consumption of oil derivatives resulting from a decrease in energy intensity in low and high growth rate scenarios.

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APA: Copy

HEYDARI, E.. (2005). ENERGY DEMAND FORECASTING IN IRANIAN ECONOMICS BASED ON DECOMPOSITION APPROACH. TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI, -(69), 27-56. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/11723/en

Vancouver: Copy

HEYDARI E.. ENERGY DEMAND FORECASTING IN IRANIAN ECONOMICS BASED ON DECOMPOSITION APPROACH. TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI[Internet]. 2005;-(69):27-56. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/11723/en

IEEE: Copy

E. HEYDARI, “ENERGY DEMAND FORECASTING IN IRANIAN ECONOMICS BASED ON DECOMPOSITION APPROACH,” TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI, vol. -, no. 69, pp. 27–56, 2005, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/11723/en

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