FORECASTING OPEC CRUDE OIL PRICE BY APPLYING GRAY FORECASTING MODEL

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JAVANMARD H.; FAGHIDIAN S.F.

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: Journal of Economic Modelling Year:2014 | Volume:8 | Issue:3 (27) Page(s): 91-114

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Information Journal Paper

Title

FORECASTING OPEC CRUDE OIL PRICE BY APPLYING GRAY FORECASTING MODEL

Author(s)

JAVANMARD H. | FAGHIDIAN S.F. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Not Registered.

Abstract

In world economy, crude oil is considered as one of the most strategic commodities playing a vital role in the determination of many regional and global equations. So, it is well known that an intense fluctuation of the oil price causes large recession in OPEC countries. So many researchers attempt to forecast crude oil price while oil market is one of the most complex, turbulent and chaotic international financial markets. In present research, gray system theory is utilized to model and forecast the price of crude oil. The results represent that gray forecasting model significantly improves the accuracy of the forecasting operation.

Cites

SEMI-PARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF THE STRATEGIC GOODS (OPEC OIL PRICE)

References

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APA: Copy

JAVANMARD, H., & FAGHIDIAN, S.F.. (2014). FORECASTING OPEC CRUDE OIL PRICE BY APPLYING GRAY FORECASTING MODEL. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 8(3 (27)), 91-114. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/176157/en

Vancouver: Copy

JAVANMARD H., FAGHIDIAN S.F.. FORECASTING OPEC CRUDE OIL PRICE BY APPLYING GRAY FORECASTING MODEL. ECONOMIC MODELLING[Internet]. 2014;8(3 (27)):91-114. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/176157/en

IEEE: Copy

H. JAVANMARD, and S.F. FAGHIDIAN, “FORECASTING OPEC CRUDE OIL PRICE BY APPLYING GRAY FORECASTING MODEL,” ECONOMIC MODELLING, vol. 8, no. 3 (27), pp. 91–114, 2014, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/176157/en

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