IDENTIFYING THE BUBBLE OF THE HOUSING IN IRAN BY PANEL CO-INTEGRATION APPROACH

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KHATAIE MAHMOOD; KHIABANI NASER; RAJABI MOHSEN

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Journal: Journal of Economic Modelling Year:2015 | Volume:8 | Issue:4 (28) Page(s): 1-26

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Title

IDENTIFYING THE BUBBLE OF THE HOUSING IN IRAN BY PANEL CO-INTEGRATION APPROACH

Author(s)

KHATAIE MAHMOOD | KHIABANI NASER | RAJABI MOHSEN | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

HOUSING BUBBLEQ2

MORTGAGE RATIONINGQ2

PANEL CO-INTEGRATIONQ2

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to identify the bubble of housing in Iran. For this purpose, the base price of housing will be estimated at first and then the bubble calculated as the difference between the base and actual prices of housing. Considering the rationing in the mortgage market of Iran, the equation of housing real prices is used. In addition, to create an index of MORTGAGE RATIONING, MORTGAGE RATIONING model is used by some changes. The data are seasonal related to 17 metropolitan cities in Iran. The results of estimating the MORTGAGE RATIONING model indicate an inverse relation between the mortgage demand and housing prices. The results obtained by the estimation of real housing prices equation point to the presence of bubble in the housing market. In fact, the burst of HOUSING BUBBLE in Iran is observed in housing market in 1996, 2002 and 2007.

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APA: Copy

KHATAIE, MAHMOOD, KHIABANI, NASER, & RAJABI, MOHSEN. (2015). IDENTIFYING THE BUBBLE OF THE HOUSING IN IRAN BY PANEL CO-INTEGRATION APPROACH. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 8(4 (28)), 1-26. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/176338/en

Vancouver: Copy

KHATAIE MAHMOOD, KHIABANI NASER, RAJABI MOHSEN. IDENTIFYING THE BUBBLE OF THE HOUSING IN IRAN BY PANEL CO-INTEGRATION APPROACH. ECONOMIC MODELLING[Internet]. 2015;8(4 (28)):1-26. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/176338/en

IEEE: Copy

MAHMOOD KHATAIE, NASER KHIABANI, and MOHSEN RAJABI, “IDENTIFYING THE BUBBLE OF THE HOUSING IN IRAN BY PANEL CO-INTEGRATION APPROACH,” ECONOMIC MODELLING, vol. 8, no. 4 (28), pp. 1–26, 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/176338/en

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