Foresighting Based on Cognitive Map

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SHAFIA MOHAMMAD ALI; Rahimi Moghaddam Mohammad; BADIE KAMBIZ

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES Year:2013 | Volume:4 | Issue:15 Page(s): 57-91

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Foresighting Based on Cognitive Map

Author(s)

SHAFIA MOHAMMAD ALI | Rahimi Moghaddam Mohammad | BADIE KAMBIZ | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ForesightQ1

FCMQ2

IntuitionQ2

InsightQ2

WisdomQ1

Abstract

The paper's aim is to present a Foresight framework based on cognitive approaches and Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM). The proposed framework includes three phases of pre-Foresight, main-Foresight and post-Foresight. One of the main strengths of this framework is its ability to present the evolutional trend of experts' cognition on future which begins from data gathering, mapping their imagination, analyzing and summarizing them to achieve knowledge and understandings of the future and ends by forming the Wisdom about it. This trend helps to identify probable futures and determine preferable one. Moreover, focus on FCM in this framework clarifies the role of variables and their sequence which facilitates planning for the controllable variables to achieve preferable future. Finally the components of proposed framework are evaluated based on the frameworks reviewed and success factors of Foresight frameworks.

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APA: Copy

SHAFIA, MOHAMMAD ALI, Rahimi Moghaddam, Mohammad, & BADIE, KAMBIZ. (2013). Foresighting Based on Cognitive Map. JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES, 4(15 ), 57-91. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/181679/en

Vancouver: Copy

SHAFIA MOHAMMAD ALI, Rahimi Moghaddam Mohammad, BADIE KAMBIZ. Foresighting Based on Cognitive Map. JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES[Internet]. 2013;4(15 ):57-91. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/181679/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD ALI SHAFIA, Mohammad Rahimi Moghaddam, and KAMBIZ BADIE, “Foresighting Based on Cognitive Map,” JOURNAL OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES, vol. 4, no. 15 , pp. 57–91, 2013, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/181679/en

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