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Information Journal Paper

Title

ESTIMATING AN EFFICIENT THRESHOLD FOR THE MODELLING AND COMPUTATION OF OPERATIONAL RISK CAPITAL

Pages

  105-133

Keywords

LOSS DISTRIBUTION APPROACH (LDA)Q2
EXTREME VALUE THEORY (EVT)Q2

Abstract

 In this paper we conduct an empirical study to quantify and model OPERATIONAL RISK by using loss distribution approach. Our main goals are to implement Extreme Value Theory (EVT) and propose a new method to estimate the tail THRESHOLD by minimizing the Mean Squared Error of spliced distribution. We have used popular parametric model (Lognormal, Weibull, Gamma, and Exponential), Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) and the combination of them in constructing spliced distribution (log-Gp and Wbl-Gp) to model severity distribution based on operational loss data which belongs to a large European bank.Results indicate that parametric distributions are insignificant in fitting to data, especially in the tail region. But spliced distributions in comparison with other distributions have more efficiency to fit to the empirical quartiles. Errors in estimating very high quartiles of severity distribution, is the main reason for different figures of capital at risk in significant distributions. Therefore, it’s better to compute OpVaR figures in lower confidence level by spliced distribution based on introduced THRESHOLD.

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    APA: Copy

    POUYANFAR, AHMAD, BEYTY, SAEID, & HABIBI, ALI. (2014). ESTIMATING AN EFFICIENT THRESHOLD FOR THE MODELLING AND COMPUTATION OF OPERATIONAL RISK CAPITAL. FINANCIAL ENGINEERING AND SECURITIES MANAGEMENT (PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT), 5(18), 105-133. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/197787/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    POUYANFAR AHMAD, BEYTY SAEID, HABIBI ALI. ESTIMATING AN EFFICIENT THRESHOLD FOR THE MODELLING AND COMPUTATION OF OPERATIONAL RISK CAPITAL. FINANCIAL ENGINEERING AND SECURITIES MANAGEMENT (PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT)[Internet]. 2014;5(18):105-133. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/197787/en

    IEEE: Copy

    AHMAD POUYANFAR, SAEID BEYTY, and ALI HABIBI, “ESTIMATING AN EFFICIENT THRESHOLD FOR THE MODELLING AND COMPUTATION OF OPERATIONAL RISK CAPITAL,” FINANCIAL ENGINEERING AND SECURITIES MANAGEMENT (PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT), vol. 5, no. 18, pp. 105–133, 2014, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/197787/en

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