ANALYSIS OF QUANTITATIVE AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF HOUSING AND FORECASTING OF POPULATION STRUCTURE, HOUSING PRICES AND HOUSES REQUIRED TILL 1410 IN TEHRAN

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MEHDIANPOUR JAVAD; SAREMI HAMIDREZA

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Journal: URBAN MANAGEMENT STUDIES Year:2017 | Volume:9 | Issue:31 Page(s): 37-57

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Title

ANALYSIS OF QUANTITATIVE AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF HOUSING AND FORECASTING OF POPULATION STRUCTURE, HOUSING PRICES AND HOUSES REQUIRED TILL 1410 IN TEHRAN

Author(s)

MEHDIANPOUR JAVAD | SAREMI HAMIDREZA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

QUANTITATIVE AND ECONOMICAL HOUSING INDICATORSQ1

PREDICTION OF POPULATION AND HOUSING NEED AND HOUSE PRICEQ1

TEHRAN CITYQ1

Abstract

Introduction and Objectiv: the quality of the urban housing indicators is one of the indicators of the socio- economic development in the countries of the world.in developing countries, including Iran housing supply is one of the Acute issues, are due to the presence of the defects in the planning of Housing and also increase urbanization rapidly. Over the decades, the changes in the city of Tehran have made it important for housing planning. The purpose of this article is to analyze Indicators of the quantitative and economic housing.Method: The method used in this research is based on objective, applied and based on data collection, descriptive and analytical - quantitative. The library and documentation method were used to collect information. Finally, the prediction of population structure (exponential method), housing needs (aggregation and index methods) and housing prices (Arima method) have been addressed in three minimum, average and maximum scenarios.Findings: The research findings indicate that the population of Tehran will reach from 8537000 to 9734000 by 1410 And will require 2863,000 to 3534,000 residential units. It is also expected that the average price per square meter of housing will reach 6.4 to 6.8 million tomans.Conclusion: Housing Analysis in Tehran shows that quantitative indicators of housing have improved and economic indicators of housing have declined. And for the future of Tehran, a scenario with at least population growth and the scenario of maximum housing prices seems more likely.

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APA: Copy

MEHDIANPOUR, JAVAD, & SAREMI, HAMIDREZA. (2017). ANALYSIS OF QUANTITATIVE AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF HOUSING AND FORECASTING OF POPULATION STRUCTURE, HOUSING PRICES AND HOUSES REQUIRED TILL 1410 IN TEHRAN. URBAN MANAGEMENT STUDIES, 9(31 ), 37-57. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/199420/en

Vancouver: Copy

MEHDIANPOUR JAVAD, SAREMI HAMIDREZA. ANALYSIS OF QUANTITATIVE AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF HOUSING AND FORECASTING OF POPULATION STRUCTURE, HOUSING PRICES AND HOUSES REQUIRED TILL 1410 IN TEHRAN. URBAN MANAGEMENT STUDIES[Internet]. 2017;9(31 ):37-57. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/199420/en

IEEE: Copy

JAVAD MEHDIANPOUR, and HAMIDREZA SAREMI, “ANALYSIS OF QUANTITATIVE AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF HOUSING AND FORECASTING OF POPULATION STRUCTURE, HOUSING PRICES AND HOUSES REQUIRED TILL 1410 IN TEHRAN,” URBAN MANAGEMENT STUDIES, vol. 9, no. 31 , pp. 37–57, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/199420/en

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