INFLATION; INFLATION UNCERTAINTY; INVESTMENT GROWTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN

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GHOLAMI A.; KOMIJANI A.

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Journal: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS Year:2011 | Volume:1 | Issue:3 Page(s): 1-25

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Title

INFLATION; INFLATION UNCERTAINTY; INVESTMENT GROWTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN

Author(s)

GHOLAMI A. | KOMIJANI A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

INFLATIONQ2

INFLATION UNCERTAINTYQ2

INVESTMENT GROWTHQ3

ECONOMIC GROWTHQ2

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between INFLATION; INFLATION uncertainty; INVESTMENT GROWTH and ECONOMIC GROWTH, over the period 1367‐ 1387 in Iran. We used Trivariate‐GARCH model and our results indicate that the hypothesis of Friedman (1977) and Ball (1992) concerning that the increase in INFLATION rate, leads to INFLATION uncertainty, is not rejected for Iran during the period of our study. Thus, we conclude that any variable that increases the rate of INFLATION, leads to INFLATION uncertainty and consequently reduces the ECONOMIC GROWTH in Iran. Therefore it is helpful if government pursue an INFLATION targeting policy. Our results also confirm that any increase in INFLATIONary uncertainty reduces the rate of investment and production as indicated by Bernanke (1983); Dixit & Pyndyk (1994) and Friedman (1977). Finally our model rejects the hypothesis of Holland (1995) i.e. there exist a negative causality between INFLATION uncertainty and INFLATION rate.

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APA: Copy

GHOLAMI, A., & KOMIJANI, A.. (2011). INFLATION; INFLATION UNCERTAINTY; INVESTMENT GROWTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS, 1(3), 1-25. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/202004/en

Vancouver: Copy

GHOLAMI A., KOMIJANI A.. INFLATION; INFLATION UNCERTAINTY; INVESTMENT GROWTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS[Internet]. 2011;1(3):1-25. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/202004/en

IEEE: Copy

A. GHOLAMI, and A. KOMIJANI, “INFLATION; INFLATION UNCERTAINTY; INVESTMENT GROWTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS, vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 1–25, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/202004/en

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