ANALYZING FINANCIAL STABILITY WITH EMPHASIS ON BANKING SECTOR IN IRAN: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM APPROACH

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

ZAREI ZHALE; KOMIJANI AKBAR

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS Year:2012 | Volume:3 | Issue:10 Page(s): 127-152

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

2,096

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

ANALYZING FINANCIAL STABILITY WITH EMPHASIS ON BANKING SECTOR IN IRAN: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM APPROACH

Author(s)

ZAREI ZHALE | KOMIJANI AKBAR | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

FINANCIAL STABILITYQ1

BANKING CRISISQ2

EARLY WARNING SYSTEMQ2

Abstract

In the literature, the FINANCIAL STABILITY is defined as a condition that systematic crises do not threaten the stability of the macroeconomy. Financial instability and its great shock on real output in many countries faced with economic crisis have demonstrated the need and importance of developing models for prediction and prevention of crises for economic planners and make them able to investigate the causes of crisis and prevent its recurrence as well. In this study, an EARLY WARNING SYSTEM of bank crisis for Iran has been estimated by using probabilistic method (probit approach), for the 2002- 2011 The probable function designed in this paper shows that three variables, weight average of the real interest rate of banking deposit, weight average of the real interest rate of banking credit and the growth rate of property price, are the three predicators of probability of the BANKING CRISIS.The specified model in this study has signaled the banking crises and in 92 percent of the cases in which crises have happened the model has been able predicate it with probability of more than 40 percent and Only, 7.14 percent has been missed and 9.52 percent has signaled wrongly. Hence, it confirms the relative predictive power of our model in crises period.

Cites

IDENTIFICATION AND PREDICTION OF BANKING CRISIS IN IRAN

References

Cite

APA: Copy

ZAREI, ZHALE, & KOMIJANI, AKBAR. (2012). ANALYZING FINANCIAL STABILITY WITH EMPHASIS ON BANKING SECTOR IN IRAN: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM APPROACH. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS, 3(10), 127-152. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/202046/en

Vancouver: Copy

ZAREI ZHALE, KOMIJANI AKBAR. ANALYZING FINANCIAL STABILITY WITH EMPHASIS ON BANKING SECTOR IN IRAN: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM APPROACH. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS[Internet]. 2012;3(10):127-152. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/202046/en

IEEE: Copy

ZHALE ZAREI, and AKBAR KOMIJANI, “ANALYZING FINANCIAL STABILITY WITH EMPHASIS ON BANKING SECTOR IN IRAN: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM APPROACH,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS, vol. 3, no. 10, pp. 127–152, 2012, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/202046/en

Related Journal Papers