DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN THE IRANIAN ECONOMY (1970-2008)

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TAYEBI SEYED KOMAIL; DASHTBAN MAJID; JABBARI AMIR; MOJAHEDI MOAKHAR MOHAMMAD MEHDI

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Journal: Journal of Economic Studies and Policies Year:2011 | Volume:7 (17) | Issue:1 (84) Page(s): 17-36

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Information Journal Paper

Title

DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN THE IRANIAN ECONOMY (1970-2008)

Author(s)

TAYEBI SEYED KOMAIL | DASHTBAN MAJID | JABBARI AMIR | MOJAHEDI MOAKHAR MOHAMMAD MEHDI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

BUSINESS CYCLESQ2

AGGREGATE SUPPLY-DEMAND MODELQ2

SVAR MODELQ2

VARIANCE ANALYSISQ3

Abstract

Using an aggregate supply-demand specification and its relevant variance decomposition analysis, this paper explores the major determinants of BUSINESS CYCLES in the Iranian economy over the period 1970-2008.Empirical results indicate that GDP has played the major role in its own instability during the period. This reveals the fact that the main components of GDP such as investment, consumption, trade balance and government expenditures have caused substantially BUSINESS CYCLES. Additionally, the Iran’s business cycle has been resulted by the OPEC oil price and its fluctuations through trade balance, terms of trade (TOT) and exchange rate.Moreover, the empirical results arising from the computed cross correlation coefficient between GDP and the relevant determinants show a co-movement relationship between GDP, prices and real money balances. Terms of trade and exchange rate have had a lagging effect and a leading one on the country’s GDP, respectively.

Cites

STUDY OF THE STATUS AND ROLE OF AGRICULTURE IN IRAN BUSINESS CYCLES

References

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APA: Copy

TAYEBI, SEYED KOMAIL, DASHTBAN, MAJID, JABBARI, AMIR, & MOJAHEDI MOAKHAR, MOHAMMAD MEHDI. (2011). DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN THE IRANIAN ECONOMY (1970-2008). JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES, 7 (17)(1 (84)), 17-36. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/219057/en

Vancouver: Copy

TAYEBI SEYED KOMAIL, DASHTBAN MAJID, JABBARI AMIR, MOJAHEDI MOAKHAR MOHAMMAD MEHDI. DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN THE IRANIAN ECONOMY (1970-2008). JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES[Internet]. 2011;7 (17)(1 (84)):17-36. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/219057/en

IEEE: Copy

SEYED KOMAIL TAYEBI, MAJID DASHTBAN, AMIR JABBARI, and MOHAMMAD MEHDI MOJAHEDI MOAKHAR, “DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN THE IRANIAN ECONOMY (1970-2008),” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES AND POLICIES, vol. 7 (17), no. 1 (84), pp. 17–36, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/219057/en

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