The Investigation of Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Export and Value Added of Iranian Food Industries (Application of Structural Vector Auto-Regression Model)

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KOHANSAL MOHAMMAD REZA; MAHMOODI MEHDI

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Journal: MAJLIS & RAHBORD Year:2020 | Volume:27 | Issue:101 Page(s): 59-94

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Information Journal Paper

Title

The Investigation of Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Export and Value Added of Iranian Food Industries (Application of Structural Vector Auto-Regression Model)

Author(s)

KOHANSAL MOHAMMAD REZA | MAHMOODI MEHDI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Food IndustriesQ1

Exchange Rate VolatilityQ1

Value addedQ1

Inflation RateQ1

SVARQ1

Abstract

The sub-branch of food industry is considered as one of the most profitable communicative ways between industry and agriculture sectors also prerequisite for an industrialization strategy as well as providing food security in our country. The study tries to examine effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Iranian Food Industries exports and Value added within the SVAR framework during 1972-2015. The examined variables include of Food Industries exports, Exchange Rate Volatility, Value added, Inflation Rate, and Iranian trade-offs. The results showed that short-run effects of trade-offs and Inflation Rate variables are negatively correlated but value-added and Exchange Rate Volatility variables are correlated to food exports positively. Moreover according to the results, all long-run variables have positive relationships with Food Industries exports. Also, it is suggested that significant issues such as inflation control and the improvement of short-run exchange trade-offs should be put into the agenda by the government. Also, results indicate that Exchange Rate Volatility increase export volume only in short-run (at the beginning of the period) but in the following periods show less exporters’ activities than importers as well as volume of food industry exports will be reduced. Therefore, due to direct and positive long-run Exchange Rate Volatility effects on food exports as well as these industries’ roles in the development of Value added, the development of food exports products which focused on the expansion of these industries as well as using of agricultural complementary industries in order to increase shelf life of food products are proposed. Also, since Exchange Rate Volatility increases food exports in a short-run only in the first period, it is suggested to investigate risks of food-related activities as well as food price instability and regulated market for the future studies.

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APA: Copy

KOHANSAL, MOHAMMAD REZA, & MAHMOODI, MEHDI. (2020). The Investigation of Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Export and Value Added of Iranian Food Industries (Application of Structural Vector Auto-Regression Model). MAJLIS & RAHBORD, 27(101 ), 59-94. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/224837/en

Vancouver: Copy

KOHANSAL MOHAMMAD REZA, MAHMOODI MEHDI. The Investigation of Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Export and Value Added of Iranian Food Industries (Application of Structural Vector Auto-Regression Model). MAJLIS & RAHBORD[Internet]. 2020;27(101 ):59-94. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/224837/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD REZA KOHANSAL, and MEHDI MAHMOODI, “The Investigation of Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Export and Value Added of Iranian Food Industries (Application of Structural Vector Auto-Regression Model),” MAJLIS & RAHBORD, vol. 27, no. 101 , pp. 59–94, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/224837/en

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