FORECASTING GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES AND INFLUENCES ON CURRENCY RESERVE IN IRAN

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NESABIAN SHAHRIAR; GHASHGHAEI SH.

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Journal: Financial Economics Year:2018 | Volume:11 | Issue:41 Page(s): 225-241

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Information Journal Paper

Title

FORECASTING GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES AND INFLUENCES ON CURRENCY RESERVE IN IRAN

Author(s)

NESABIAN SHAHRIAR | GHASHGHAEI SH. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

FORECASTQ2

GLOBAL WHEAT PRICESQ1

FOREIGN EXCHANGE SAVINGSQ1

ARIMA MODELQ2

Abstract

This study FORECASTs the global price of wheat and wheat imports to recognize the right time in order to save foreign exchange took place. The population of study time series of monthly wheat prices during the period January 2000 to December 2014 and FORECAST GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES for the period January to December 2017 was conducted. In order to evaluate the country's wheat imports in years 1393- 1388 Monthly data are considered. ARIMA MODEL as a pioneer in the study of classical time series models were used to FORECAST GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES. ARIMA MODEL and view the results of the variable when GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES shows that in recent years, faced with falling prices and in the years 2016and 2017 will see a gradual increase in GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES. Also, check the status of Iran's wheat imports in the year, it was concluded that wheat imports in some years, been done at the right time, in years such as 1391 when the world price increased Iran's imports of wheat.

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APA: Copy

NESABIAN, SHAHRIAR, & GHASHGHAEI, SH.. (2018). FORECASTING GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES AND INFLUENCES ON CURRENCY RESERVE IN IRAN. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), 11(41 ), 225-241. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/229154/en

Vancouver: Copy

NESABIAN SHAHRIAR, GHASHGHAEI SH.. FORECASTING GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES AND INFLUENCES ON CURRENCY RESERVE IN IRAN. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT)[Internet]. 2018;11(41 ):225-241. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/229154/en

IEEE: Copy

SHAHRIAR NESABIAN, and SH. GHASHGHAEI, “FORECASTING GLOBAL WHEAT PRICES AND INFLUENCES ON CURRENCY RESERVE IN IRAN,” JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), vol. 11, no. 41 , pp. 225–241, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/229154/en

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