OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND DUTCH DISEASE: THE CASE OF IRAN

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BAHRAMI JAVID; NASIRI SAMIRA

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Journal: Iranian Journal of Economic Research Year:2011 | Volume:16 | Issue:48 Page(s): 25-54

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Title

OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND DUTCH DISEASE: THE CASE OF IRAN

Author(s)

BAHRAMI JAVID | NASIRI SAMIRA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

OIL PRICE SHOCKSQ2

SVARQ2

DUTCH DISEASEQ2

REAL EXCHANGE RATEQ2

TRADABLES AND NONTRADABLESQ2

Abstract

Applying the SVAR method of 'Kilian' to the monthly data over the period of 1973-2007, in this paper, we decompose OIL PRICE SHOCKS into five structural shocks, namely, Iran political supply shocks, OPEC political supply shocks, non- OPEC supply shocks, world demand shocks, and oil specific demand shocks. Then, estimating separate OLS regressions, based on annual data of Iranian Economy, the impact of these structural shocks on main macroeconomic variables, and outbreak of DUTCH DISEASE is studied. This paper finds that the symptoms of DUTCH DISEASE have not been observed, following different structural shocks, except for Iran political supply shocks. Owing to dominant role of government in production, and export of oil in Iran, it is evident that the effect of OIL PRICE SHOCKS, to a large extent depends on the government conduct, and the DUTCH DISEASE is not an inevitable reality for the Iranian economy.

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APA: Copy

BAHRAMI, JAVID, & NASIRI, SAMIRA. (2011). OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND DUTCH DISEASE: THE CASE OF IRAN. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, 16(48), 25-54. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/2771/en

Vancouver: Copy

BAHRAMI JAVID, NASIRI SAMIRA. OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND DUTCH DISEASE: THE CASE OF IRAN. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH[Internet]. 2011;16(48):25-54. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/2771/en

IEEE: Copy

JAVID BAHRAMI, and SAMIRA NASIRI, “OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND DUTCH DISEASE: THE CASE OF IRAN,” IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, vol. 16, no. 48, pp. 25–54, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/2771/en

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