Technology Roadmap Development for Enhanced Oil Recovery: System Dynamics Approach

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Kyarasi Heidar Pegah; RADFAR REZA; ALBORZI MAHMOOD; Toloie Ashlaghi Abbas

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH Year:2019 | Volume:4 | Issue:13 Page(s): 89-122

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Title

Technology Roadmap Development for Enhanced Oil Recovery: System Dynamics Approach

Author(s)

Kyarasi Heidar Pegah | RADFAR REZA | ALBORZI MAHMOOD | Toloie Ashlaghi Abbas | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Technology Road-mapping

domestic R&D

System Dynamics

Abstract

This study provides a dynamic behavior analysis of roadmap development for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) technologies based on System Dynamics in order to reduce domestic R&D costs. The key variables and causal-loop diagram were identified via expert opinion and data. The mathematical relationships amongst variables were identified based on background research and in approximately two years, a mathematical model of the system was developed using computer simulations in VENSIM. The results indicated two types of damped oscillation and goal-seeking dynamic behaviors for model variables. Further, the dynamic hypotheses testing indicated that increased technological maturity and education reduces costs while increased technologic complexity would increase the costs. The best scenario was identified as a combination of highly-mature technology, high complexity, and high education level as it leads to minimum costs.

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APA: Copy

RADFAR, REZA, Kyarasi Heidar, Pegah, ALBORZI, MAHMOOD, & Toloie Ashlaghi, Abbas. (2019). Technology Roadmap Development for Enhanced Oil Recovery: System Dynamics Approach. JOURNAL OF ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH, 4(13 ), 89-122. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/365632/en

Vancouver: Copy

RADFAR REZA, Kyarasi Heidar Pegah, ALBORZI MAHMOOD, Toloie Ashlaghi Abbas. Technology Roadmap Development for Enhanced Oil Recovery: System Dynamics Approach. JOURNAL OF ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH[Internet]. 2019;4(13 ):89-122. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/365632/en

IEEE: Copy

REZA RADFAR, Pegah Kyarasi Heidar, MAHMOOD ALBORZI, and Abbas Toloie Ashlaghi, “Technology Roadmap Development for Enhanced Oil Recovery: System Dynamics Approach,” JOURNAL OF ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH, vol. 4, no. 13 , pp. 89–122, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/365632/en

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