Prediction of Land Cover Changes in Horizon of 2028 through a Hybrid Model of Markov Chain and Cellular Automata; Catchment Area around Bazangan Lake Case Study

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

ALIKHAH ASL M.; REZVANI F.

Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH Year:2018 | Volume:33 | Issue:3 (130) Page(s): 73-87

Download Full-Text

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Persian Verion

View:

414

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

Prediction of Land Cover Changes in Horizon of 2028 through a Hybrid Model of Markov Chain and Cellular Automata; Catchment Area around Bazangan Lake Case Study

Author(s)

ALIKHAH ASL M. | REZVANI F. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Prediction of ChangesQ1

Markov Chain ModelQ2

Cellular AutomataQ1

Bazangan LakeQ2

Remote SensingQ1

Abstract

Introduction and Background Detection and Prediction of Changes are necessary for maintenance of an ecosystem particularly in rapidly-changing and often unplanned regions in developing countries. Aims This study predicts the land use changes in catchment area around Bazangan Lake for the year of 2028 with the aim of investigating the development in Bazangan Lake ecosystem based on the observed degradation from 2002 to 2015. Methodology The classification of studied area was carried out based on five categories of irrigated agriculture, rainfed agriculture, rangeland, water zones and residential areas through TM, ETM and OLI sensors and utilization of independent component analysis (ICA) with an overall accuracy of 92. 23% and kappa coefficient of 0. 89% for the years of 1999, 2002 and 2015. Afterwards, the land use changes were predicted by a hybrid model of Markov chain and Cellular Automata. The overall accuracy and kappa coefficient were determined in IDRISI software by the help of ERRMAT Module to verify mode. Conclusion According to error matrix, the overall accuracy of performance was 71 percent and kappa coefficient 0. 87 percent which proved Markov chain and cellular automaton (CA-Markov) for predicting the land use classes in upcoming 13 years. According to results, the continued current process of land use changes in this region will change Bazangan Lake area to 12. 81 hectares, the irrigated agriculture land area to 495. 91 hectares, rainfed agriculture land area to 5764. 42 hectares, rangelands to 4592. 15 hectares, and residential land area to 94. 74 hectares in the next 13 years.

Cites

No record.

References

No record.

Cite

APA: Copy

ALIKHAH ASL, M., & REZVANI, F.. (2018). Prediction of Land Cover Changes in Horizon of 2028 through a Hybrid Model of Markov Chain and Cellular Automata; Catchment Area around Bazangan Lake Case Study. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 33(3 (130) ), 73-87. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/374505/en

Vancouver: Copy

ALIKHAH ASL M., REZVANI F.. Prediction of Land Cover Changes in Horizon of 2028 through a Hybrid Model of Markov Chain and Cellular Automata; Catchment Area around Bazangan Lake Case Study. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH[Internet]. 2018;33(3 (130) ):73-87. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/374505/en

IEEE: Copy

M. ALIKHAH ASL, and F. REZVANI, “Prediction of Land Cover Changes in Horizon of 2028 through a Hybrid Model of Markov Chain and Cellular Automata; Catchment Area around Bazangan Lake Case Study,” GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, vol. 33, no. 3 (130) , pp. 73–87, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/374505/en

Related Journal Papers