Identification of the Drivers Influential on the Physical Development in the Rural Areas of Guilan Province with a Futures Research Approach

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EMAMI Seyyedeh Fatemeh; DARBAN ASTANEH ALIREZA

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: Geographical Studies of Coastal Areas Journal Year:2021 | Volume:2 | Issue:1 (4) Page(s): 115-144

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Identification of the Drivers Influential on the Physical Development in the Rural Areas of Guilan Province with a Futures Research Approach

Author(s)

EMAMI Seyyedeh Fatemeh | DARBAN ASTANEH ALIREZA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Physical Development

Future Research

Effective Factors

Guilan Province

Abstract

The present study identified the most Effective Factors influential on the physical condition of rural areas in Guilan Province with a futures research approach. It also examined the extent and quality that these factors that affect each other. The research was applied in terms of purpose, and it was analytical-exploratory in terms of nature, based on the new methods of futurology. It has been conducted using a mixed model. The data were collected through documentary and library studies. Qualitative data were prepared by open questionnaire through interviews and review of documents, and quantitative data were collected numerically by weighting Delphi questionnaires. Accordingly, in the first step, the influential indicators and components in this field were collected in various dimensions (economic, socio-cultural, environmental, spatial, physical, and historical-ancient). After collecting data and identifying the initial variables in the framework of the Delphi model, 40 questionnaires were distributed among the executive and university elites of Guilan Province, who had sufficient expertise and experience in the physical issues. The results of Mic mac outputs indicated that the physical condition of rural areas in Guilan Province and the community-based physical condition are somewhat stable. The current situation of the community-based physical system may not change in the near future. Finally, considering the high score of direct and indirect factors, ten Effective Factors identified in the future of rural Physical Development of Guilan Province. These factors could be attributed to the presence of the most direct factors, including welfare, facilities, income, climate, age, and texture and the most indirect factors including climate, markets, roughness, tourism, and proper use.

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APA: Copy

EMAMI, Seyyedeh Fatemeh, & DARBAN ASTANEH, ALIREZA. (2021). Identification of the Drivers Influential on the Physical Development in the Rural Areas of Guilan Province with a Futures Research Approach. GEOGRAPHICAL STUDIES OF COASTAL AREAS JOURNAL, 2(1 (4) ), 115-144. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/389923/en

Vancouver: Copy

EMAMI Seyyedeh Fatemeh, DARBAN ASTANEH ALIREZA. Identification of the Drivers Influential on the Physical Development in the Rural Areas of Guilan Province with a Futures Research Approach. GEOGRAPHICAL STUDIES OF COASTAL AREAS JOURNAL[Internet]. 2021;2(1 (4) ):115-144. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/389923/en

IEEE: Copy

Seyyedeh Fatemeh EMAMI, and ALIREZA DARBAN ASTANEH, “Identification of the Drivers Influential on the Physical Development in the Rural Areas of Guilan Province with a Futures Research Approach,” GEOGRAPHICAL STUDIES OF COASTAL AREAS JOURNAL, vol. 2, no. 1 (4) , pp. 115–144, 2021, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/389923/en

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