Strategic foresight for defensive technologies in the field of Army Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran on 1420 horizon

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Ijabi Ebrahim; Dervishi SeTalani Farhad; Minaie Hosein; FAZLI SAFAR; Keshavarz Ainolah

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Journal: DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY Year:2019 | Volume:4 | Issue:14 Page(s): 7-34

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Title

Strategic foresight for defensive technologies in the field of Army Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran on 1420 horizon

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Keywords

foresightQ1

Strategic ForesightQ1

Air DefenseQ1

technologyQ2

Abstract

This paper aims to review and analyze the foundations, concepts, definitions and models of foresight and Strategic Foresight provided by experts, in order to extract the dimensions, components and key items and finally intreduce steps of Strategic Foresight for defensive technology in the field of army Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran. In order to analyze, the initial data was collected by documentary studies (25 documents), then using Meta-Study(Meta-Synthesis), we determined the dimensions, components and items of the research. Finally, 68 people were asked to complete the questionnaire. Using descriptive and inferential statistics, the following results were obtained. Five stages with the relevant components and steps for defensive technologies Strategic Foresight of Air Defense were determined: The pre-foresight stage includes the components of the study of competitor and enemy organizations (3 steps), the study of upstream and par organizations (2 steps), survey of the Organization (3 steps) and reviewing the existing situation (5 steps). The determination of inputs stage includes components of target designation (4 steps), specifying stakeholders (5 steps), setting the Territory (4 steps) and data collection (4 steps). The foresight stage includes components of analysis (3 steps), interpretation (step 2), favorable condition (step 2) and vision (4 steps). The Output stage includes components of preparation for decision making (3 steps) and assessment & decision making (4 steps). And The Strategy formulation stage includes components of strategic development or strategic technology management (5 steps) and implementation & execution (5 steps).

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APA: Copy

Ijabi, Ebrahim, Dervishi SeTalani, Farhad, Minaie, Hosein, FAZLI, SAFAR, & Keshavarz, Ainolah. (2019). Strategic foresight for defensive technologies in the field of Army Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran on 1420 horizon. DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY, 4(14 ), 7-34. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/397717/en

Vancouver: Copy

Ijabi Ebrahim, Dervishi SeTalani Farhad, Minaie Hosein, FAZLI SAFAR, Keshavarz Ainolah. Strategic foresight for defensive technologies in the field of Army Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran on 1420 horizon. DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY[Internet]. 2019;4(14 ):7-34. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/397717/en

IEEE: Copy

Ebrahim Ijabi, Farhad Dervishi SeTalani, Hosein Minaie, SAFAR FAZLI, and Ainolah Keshavarz, “Strategic foresight for defensive technologies in the field of Army Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran on 1420 horizon,” DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY, vol. 4, no. 14 , pp. 7–34, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/397717/en

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