Designing a strategic foresight framework for defensive technologies in the field of air defense using interpretive structural modeling

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Ijabi Ebrahim; Dervish She Talani Farhad; Minaie Hossein; FAZLI SAFAR; Keshavarz Ainolah

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Journal: DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY Year:2020 | Volume:5 | Issue:16 Page(s): 143-169

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Title

Designing a strategic foresight framework for defensive technologies in the field of air defense using interpretive structural modeling

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Keywords

FrameworkQ1

Strategic ForesightQ1

Air DefenseQ1

technologyQ2

Interpretive Structural ModelingQ1

Abstract

This paper aimed to study the Frameworks, models and patterns of foresight and Strategic Foresight in different organizations, and by using the opinions of experts, trying to synthesize the steps, components and stages of Strategic Foresight of technology in the field of Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and introduce a appropriate Framework in this field. For this purpose, by using an Interpretive Structural Modeling method, the opinion of 25 experts was received, and within seven steps of ISM method, each of the stages of the Strategic Foresight Framework of Air Defense technologies were sorted. According to the output of interpretive structural models, The pre-foresight step includes Five levels and thirteen steps, the specifying inputs step includes nine levels and seventeen steps, the foresight step includes five levels and eleven steps, the output step includes two levels and seven steps and the step of developing strategies includes four levels and ten steps. Finally, the Strategic Foresight Framework of technology in army Air Defense of the Islamic Republic of Iran was designed and developed and using the calculation of the power of influence and the degree of dependency, "effective, connective, independent and dependent" stages were determined at each step.

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APA: Copy

Ijabi, Ebrahim, Dervish She Talani, Farhad, Minaie, Hossein, FAZLI, SAFAR, & Keshavarz, Ainolah. (2020). Designing a strategic foresight framework for defensive technologies in the field of air defense using interpretive structural modeling. DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY, 5(16 ), 143-169. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/403575/en

Vancouver: Copy

Ijabi Ebrahim, Dervish She Talani Farhad, Minaie Hossein, FAZLI SAFAR, Keshavarz Ainolah. Designing a strategic foresight framework for defensive technologies in the field of air defense using interpretive structural modeling. DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY[Internet]. 2020;5(16 ):143-169. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/403575/en

IEEE: Copy

Ebrahim Ijabi, Farhad Dervish She Talani, Hossein Minaie, SAFAR FAZLI, and Ainolah Keshavarz, “Designing a strategic foresight framework for defensive technologies in the field of air defense using interpretive structural modeling,” DEFENSIVE FUTURE STUDY, vol. 5, no. 16 , pp. 143–169, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/403575/en

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