Scenario Writing the Futures of Developments Islamic Awakening in Central Asia

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Karegary Ghafoor; Bahman Shoeb; hejazi Seyyed shahab adin

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Journal: STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STUDIES Year:2019 | Volume:3 | Issue:9 Page(s): 343-384

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Title

Scenario Writing the Futures of Developments Islamic Awakening in Central Asia

Author(s)

Karegary Ghafoor | Bahman Shoeb | hejazi Seyyed shahab adin | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Islamic Awakening

Central Asia

Futures Studies

Scenario and Scenario Writing

Abstract

This article aims to formulate future scenarios of Islamic Awakening developments in Central Asia. This goal-based research is an "applied-developmental" research. The population of the study consisted of 32 experts who were purposefully selected from the region. In order to collect the required information for compiling research literature from library studies using surveying tools and for collecting real data field studies using semi-structured interview tools and closed questionnaires were used. Interview questions and questionnaires were approved by the experts in terms of both visual and content validity. The reliability coefficient (Cronbach's alpha) was calculated 0. 842 using Spss which indicates high reliability of the questionnaire. "Shannon entropy method" was used to analyze the quantitative data collected by "descriptive statistics or parameters" and also to rank the importance of the questionnaire step statements. Islamic Awakening scenarios have been developed in the region based on the optimized Global Business Network model. Based on the key uncertainties cited, the plausible scenarios of Islamic Awakening in Central Asia intersect with the three axes of Islamism (in line with the ideals of the Islamic, secular, and Takfiri Islamic Revolution) and the way in which the republics interact with the region. I. R. Iran (convergence and divergence) is formed. Thus, four scenarios have been written about the brilliant Islamic civilization, the Silk Road, the Turkish coffee, and the fall of spring.

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APA: Copy

Karegary, Ghafoor, Bahman, Shoeb, & hejazi, Seyyed shahab adin. (2019). Scenario Writing the Futures of Developments Islamic Awakening in Central Asia. STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STUDIES, 3(9 ), 343-384. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/398546/en

Vancouver: Copy

Karegary Ghafoor, Bahman Shoeb, hejazi Seyyed shahab adin. Scenario Writing the Futures of Developments Islamic Awakening in Central Asia. STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STUDIES[Internet]. 2019;3(9 ):343-384. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/398546/en

IEEE: Copy

Ghafoor Karegary, Shoeb Bahman, and Seyyed shahab adin hejazi, “Scenario Writing the Futures of Developments Islamic Awakening in Central Asia,” STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT STUDIES OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STUDIES, vol. 3, no. 9 , pp. 343–384, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/398546/en

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