Probability of Occurrence and Sensitivity Analysis of Singleness Drivers in Iran 1414

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Shahnavaz Sara; AZAM AZADEH MANSOUREH; GHAZI NEJAD MARYAM

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: STRATEGIC STUDIES ON YOUTH AND SPORTS Year:2020 | Volume:18 | Issue:46 Page(s): 195-220

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Probability of Occurrence and Sensitivity Analysis of Singleness Drivers in Iran 1414

Author(s)

Shahnavaz Sara | AZAM AZADEH MANSOUREH | GHAZI NEJAD MARYAM | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

SinglenessQ1

Future AssumptionsQ1

Probability of OccurrenceQ1

Drivers and Sensitivity AnalysisQ1

Abstract

Marriage as a way of forming a family has always been the focus of cultures and societies. In recent decades, the pattern of marriage has undergone many changes. Singleness and delay in marriage are important changes in this regard. In our country, the delay in getting married and staying single has been an increasing trend over the years too. The study is to investigate the Probability of Occurrence and sensitivity analysis of Singleness drivers in Iran 1414. Using the drivers of Singleness in Iran, assumptions were made for the future of Singleness. The assumptions were matrixed by experts to comment on their Probability of Occurrence. Data were analyzed by Smic-Prob Expert software. The probability of the six hypotheses being plotted was obtained. The assumption of “ the increasing influence of mass media and social networks on changing youth attitudes” has the highest chance of occurring. Probability of potential scenarios showed that a future in which all assumptions occur, has the highest Probability of Occurrence. The results of the sensitivity analysis also showed that the assumption of the influence of the mass media has the highest effect on other assumptions. This analysis showed the importance of this assumption and revealed the need for special attention to it in planning and policy making.

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APA: Copy

Shahnavaz, Sara, AZAM AZADEH, MANSOUREH, & GHAZI NEJAD, MARYAM. (2020). Probability of Occurrence and Sensitivity Analysis of Singleness Drivers in Iran 1414. STRATEGIC STUDIES ON YOUTH AND SPORTS, 18(46 ), 195-220. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/411246/en

Vancouver: Copy

Shahnavaz Sara, AZAM AZADEH MANSOUREH, GHAZI NEJAD MARYAM. Probability of Occurrence and Sensitivity Analysis of Singleness Drivers in Iran 1414. STRATEGIC STUDIES ON YOUTH AND SPORTS[Internet]. 2020;18(46 ):195-220. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/411246/en

IEEE: Copy

Sara Shahnavaz, MANSOUREH AZAM AZADEH, and MARYAM GHAZI NEJAD, “Probability of Occurrence and Sensitivity Analysis of Singleness Drivers in Iran 1414,” STRATEGIC STUDIES ON YOUTH AND SPORTS, vol. 18, no. 46 , pp. 195–220, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/411246/en

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